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Ligue 2
Referee: J Stinat
Auxerre
U U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Bastia
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
56%
32%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
64%
36%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Auxerre 1. · Bastia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 25 14 8 3 +25 50
2 Angers 25 14 4 7 +12 46
3 St Etienne 26 12 5 9 +8 41
4 Laval 25 11 8 6 +3 41
5 Grenoble 25 10 10 5 +9 40
6 Ajaccio 25 10 7 8 +1 37
7 Caen 25 10 6 9 +1 36
8 Amiens 25 9 9 7 -3 36
9 Rodez 25 9 8 8 +3 35
10 Guingamp 25 9 8 8 +3 35
11 Paris FC 25 9 7 9 +1 34
12 Pau FC 25 8 10 7 -1 34
13 Bordeaux 25 9 6 10 -4 33
14 Concarneau 25 9 5 11 -5 32
15 Bastia 25 8 6 11 -3 30
16 Troyes 25 7 9 9 -4 30
17 Dunkerque 25 7 6 12 -14 27
18 Quevilly Rouen 25 5 9 11 -3 24
19 Annecy 26 5 8 13 -11 23
20 Valenciennes 25 2 9 14 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Auxerre Bastia
37′
🟨 Mohamed Souboul
1–0 Jubal
G. Hein
38′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 Dylan Tavares
↦ M. Souboul
A. Onaiwu 🔁
↦ L. Sinayoko
66′
67′
🔁 B. Santelli
↦ G. Charbonnier
68′
🔁 F. Conté
↦ J. Janneh
R. Raveloson 🔁
↦ G. Perrin
75′
76′
🔁 M. Siby
↦ T. Ducrocq
77′
🟨 Benjamin Santelli
89′
M. Alfarela 1–1
E. Maddy 🔁
↦ A. Dioussé
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Auxerre

4-2-3-1
16 D. Léon G
26 P. Joly D
4 Jubal D
5 T. Pellenard D
13 C. Akpa D
42 E. Owusu M
18 A. Dioussé M
10 G. Perrin M
7 G. Hein M
17 L. Sinayoko M
19 F. Ayé F
Bench (7)
45 A. Onaiwu
97 R. Raveloson
11 E. Maddy
8 N. Buayi-Kiala
35 K. Danois
6 S. Agouzoul
40 T. De Percin

Coach: C. Pélissier

Bastia

5-3-2
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
4 A. Roncaglia D
5 I. Dramé D
99 Y. Okou D
21 M. Souboul D
7 C. Vincent M
13 T. Ducrocq M
66 J. Janneh M
14 G. Charbonnier F
10 M. Alfarela F
Bench (7)
42 Dylan Tavares
9 B. Santelli
31 F. Conté
26 M. Siby
17 F. Bianchini
24 T. Meynadier
23 J. Fabri

Coach: L. Laslandes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,52
U ✓
4,12
B
5,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.