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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Dunkerque
S T T U U
1–2
Full-time
Rodez
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 16. · Rodez 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 6 4 1 1 +4 13
2 Caen 6 4 0 2 +7 12
3 Auxerre 7 3 3 1 +5 12
4 Amiens 6 4 0 2 +1 12
5 Guingamp 6 3 1 2 +6 10
6 Grenoble 6 2 4 0 +3 10
7 Bordeaux 6 3 1 2 -1 10
8 Rodez 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Bastia 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 St Etienne 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Pau FC 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Angers 6 2 2 2 -1 8
13 Troyes 7 1 4 2 +0 7
14 Annecy 6 1 4 1 +0 7
15 Paris FC 6 2 0 4 -2 6
16 Dunkerque 6 1 3 2 -3 6
17 Ajaccio 6 1 3 2 -5 6
18 Concarneau 6 1 2 3 -5 5
19 Valenciennes 6 1 2 3 -6 5
20 Quevilly Rouen 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Rodez
16′
D. Thiam 1–0
own goal
39′
🟨 Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
Hugo Gambor 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Y. Bilingi
B. Youssouf
55′
J. Anziani 🔁
↦ A. Ipiélé
59′
E. Bardeli 🔁
↦ T. Keita
59′
67′
A. Hountondji 2–1
L. Buadés
68′
🔁 W. Taïbi
↦ W. Younoussa
68′
🔁 C. Dépres
↦ A. Hountondji
Á. Orelién 🔁
↦ R. Boissier
75′
M. Guel 🔁
↦ Y. Bilingi
75′
78′
🔁 T. Arconte
↦ K. Corredor
79′
🟨 Lionel M'Pasi
E. Bah 🔁
↦ A. Gnanduillet
85′
89′
🔁 J. Chougrani
↦ L. Buadés
89′
🔁 R. Lipinski
↦ L. Rajot
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-2-3-1
16 A. Balijon G
7 Y. Bilingi D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 H. Gambor D
28 D. Thiam D
8 T. Keita M
5 R. Boissier M
19 B. Youssouf M
27 R. Ghrieb M
17 A. Ipiélé M
21 A. Gnanduillet F
Bench (7)
10 J. Anziani
20 E. Bardeli
29 Á. Orelién
14 M. Guel
24 E. Bah
1 L. Lavallée
22 D. Trichard

Coach: M. Chabert

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. Mpasi G
6 A. Ngouyamsa D
14 B. Danger D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
19 L. Buadés M
7 W. Younoussa M
24 G. Haag M
8 L. Rajot M
28 A. Abdallah M
12 K. Corredor F
17 A. Hountondji F
Bench (7)
10 W. Taïbi
25 C. Dépres
22 T. Arconte
21 J. Chougrani
3 R. Lipinski
1 S. Cibois
18 A. Valério

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,42
U
3,08
B ✓
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.