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Serie B

Referee: M Monaldi

Cesena

S S T S T

2–2

Full-time

Modena

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cesena 8. · Modena 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Juve Stabia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Spezia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Reggiana	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Mantova	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Cesena	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Salernitana	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Brescia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Cosenza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Catanzaro	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
15	Modena	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Palermo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Frosinone	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Carrarese	4	1	0	3	-2	3
19	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Bari	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Mantova	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Catanzaro	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Cosenza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Juve Stabia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Frosinone	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Modena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Cittadella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Bari	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+1	6
2	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Brescia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Palermo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Sassuolo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Modena	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Mantova	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Bari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cesena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Carrarese	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.