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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Betis
U S U S T
2–0
Full-time
Leganes
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 13%
0%
25%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
1,5
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,12 xG 0,10
64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 17. · Leganes 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +10 +7.4 12
2 Real Madrid 4 2 2 0 +5 +5.4 8
3 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 0 +4 +4.2 8
4 Villarreal 4 2 2 0 +2 +0.1 8
5 Girona 4 2 1 1 +3 +2.9 7
6 Alaves 4 2 1 1 +2 +1.3 7
7 Osasuna 4 2 1 1 -2 -2.3 7
8 Celta 4 2 0 2 +1 -0.5 6
9 Leganes 4 1 2 1 +0 -1.6 5
10 Mallorca 4 1 2 1 +0 +1.3 5
11 Vallecano 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.6 4
12 Ath Bilbao 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.5 4
13 Sociedad 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.6 4
14 Espanol 4 1 1 2 -1 -0.9 4
15 Valladolid 4 1 1 2 -9 -4.2 4
16 Getafe 3 0 3 0 +0 +1.3 3
17 Betis 3 0 2 1 -2 -0.9 2
18 Las Palmas 4 0 2 2 -3 -4.7 2
19 Sevilla 4 0 2 2 -3 -0.5 2
20 Valencia 4 0 1 3 -4 -3.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Leganes
Adrián 🟨
-5′
11′
🟨 Juan Cruz
Sergi Altimira 🔁
↦ William Carvalho
26′
37′
🟨 Valentin Rosier
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Adrià Alti
↦ Juan Cruz
46′
🔁 M. Nastasić
↦ Jorge Sáenz
G. Lo Celso 🔁
↦ E. Ávila
61′
61′
🔁 S. Cissé
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
61′
🔁 R. Tapia
↦ Enric Franquesa
Vitor Roque 🔁
↦ Assane Diao
62′
Héctor Bellerín 🔁
↦ Y. Sabaly
62′
66′
🔁 J. Chicco
↦ Y. Neyou
1–0 A. Ezzalzouli
Héctor Bellerín
74′
2–0 Vitor Roque
86′
Aitor Ruibal 🔁
↦ Pablo Fornals
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva G
23 Y. Sabaly D
3 Diego Llorente D
6 Natan D
15 R. Perraud D
21 Marc Roca M
14 William Carvalho M
9 E. Ávila M
18 Pablo Fornals M
10 A. Ezzalzouli M
38 Assane Diao F
Bench (12)
16 Sergi Altimira
20 G. Lo Celso
8 Vitor Roque
2 Héctor Bellerín
24 Aitor Ruibal
13 Adrián
43 Lucas Alcázar
36 Jesús Rodríguez
19 Iker Losada
25 Fran Vieites
12 R. Rodríguez
4 J. Cardoso

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Leganes

4-2-3-1
1 Juan Soriano G
12 V. Rosier D
3 Jorge Sáenz D
6 Sergio González D
20 Javi Hernández D
14 D. Brašanac M
17 Y. Neyou M
11 Juan Cruz M
7 Óscar Rodríguez M
15 Enric Franquesa M
18 S. Haller F
Bench (12)
2 Adrià Alti
22 M. Nastasić
8 S. Cissé
5 R. Tapia
24 J. Chicco
9 Miguel de la Fuente
19 Diego García
23 M. El Haddadi
4 J. Porozo
21 Roberto López
10 Dani Raba
13 M. Dmitrović

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
3,72
B
6,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.