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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
Amiens
T T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Caen
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 27%
35%
19%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
54%
42%
Both score Ø 40%
42%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 15. · Caen 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 26 16 4 6 +19 52
2 Paris FC 26 16 4 6 +17 52
3 Metz 26 14 8 4 +25 50
4 Dunkerque 26 15 3 8 +8 48
5 Guingamp 26 13 3 10 +10 42
6 Laval 26 11 7 8 +8 40
7 Annecy 26 11 6 9 -4 39
8 Bastia 26 8 13 5 +6 37
9 Grenoble 26 10 6 10 +1 36
10 Troyes 26 10 3 13 +2 33
11 Pau FC 26 8 9 9 -7 33
12 Red Star 26 9 5 12 -12 32
13 Ajaccio 26 9 4 13 -9 31
14 Rodez 26 8 6 12 +2 30
15 Amiens 26 9 3 14 -14 30
16 Clermont 26 6 7 13 -13 25
17 Martigues 26 7 3 16 -23 24
18 Caen 26 5 4 17 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Caen
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
19′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Traoré
↦ R. Thomas
Mohamed Jaouab 🟨
53′
1–0 A. Léautey
L. Mafouta
58′
65′
🔁 B. Brahimi
↦ Y. Benrahou
66′
🔁 A. Ba Loua
↦ S. Grandsir
2–0 N. Kandil
K. Kaïboué
73′
75′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ G. Kyeremeh
75′
🔁 V. Henry
↦ L. Sy
82′
🟨 Yann M'Vila
I. Fofana 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
83′
M. Mbaye 🔁
↦ N. Kandil
86′
92′
K. Coulibaly 2–1
A. Ba Loua
Y. Rafii 🔁
↦ A. Léautey
94′
S. Bakayoko 🔁
↦ S. Corchia
95′
Rémy Vita 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Amiens

4-1-4-1
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
6 A. Aït Boudlal D
13 M. Jaouab D
19 R. Vita D
37 T. Monconduit M
7 A. Léautey M
8 V. Lobry M
20 K. Kaïboué M
10 N. Kandil M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
45 I. Fofana
11 M. Mbaye
34 S. Bakayoko
51 Y. Rafii
18 M. Manitu
27 R. Lutin
16 A. Sauvage

Coach: O. Daf

Caen

4-2-3-1
1 A. Mandréa G
25 L. Sy D
5 A. Moucketou-Moussounda D
29 R. Thomas D
27 J. Gaudin D
20 N. Lebreton M
6 Y. M'Vila M
17 G. Kyeremeh M
24 Y. Benrahou M
21 S. Grandsir M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
61 B. Traoré
10 B. Brahimi
88 A. Ba Loua
18 K. Coulibaly
4 V. Henry
14 L. Rajot
16 Y. Clémentia

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,29
U
3,22
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.