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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Caen
T S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Paris FC
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
48%
41%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
9 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 5. · Paris FC 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 28 14 10 4 +24 52
2 Angers 27 15 4 8 +12 49
3 St Etienne 28 13 6 9 +9 45
4 Laval 27 12 9 6 +5 45
5 Caen 27 12 6 9 +4 42
6 Grenoble 27 10 10 7 +7 40
7 Rodez 27 10 9 8 +5 39
8 Ajaccio 27 10 8 9 -1 38
9 Amiens 27 9 11 7 -3 38
10 Pau FC 27 9 10 8 -1 37
11 Bordeaux 27 10 7 10 -3 37
12 Guingamp 27 9 9 9 +2 36
13 Paris FC 27 9 9 9 +1 36
14 Bastia 27 9 7 11 -2 34
15 Concarneau 27 9 6 12 -7 33
16 Troyes 27 7 10 10 -5 31
17 Dunkerque 27 8 7 12 -13 31
18 Quevilly Rouen 27 5 11 11 -3 26
19 Annecy 27 5 9 13 -11 24
20 Valenciennes 27 2 10 15 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Paris FC
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Ollila
↦ A. Gory
B. Brahimi 🔁
↦ M. Le Bihan
65′
65′
🔁 P. Hamel
↦ N. Dicko
66′
🔁 V. Marchetti
↦ I. Kebbal
67′
🟨 Pierre-Yves Hamel
85′
T. Ollila 0–1
H. Mbock 🔁
↦ Q. Daubin
86′
M. Hafid 🔁
↦ G. Kyeremeh
86′
89′
🟨 Vincent Marchetti
T. Gomis 🔁
↦ M. Autret
92′
93′
🔁 L. Doucet
↦ A. Camara
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Caen

4-4-2
1 A. Mandréa G
97 D. Debohi
61 B. Traoré D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
17 G. Kyeremeh M
6 Q. Daubin M
20 N. Lebreton M
23 M. Autret M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
11 M. Le Bihan F
Bench (7)
21 B. Brahimi
18 H. Mbock
22 M. Hafid
7 T. Gomis
16 Y. Clémentia
5 S. Ben Youssef
92 A. Coeff

Coach: N. Seube

Paris FC

4-2-3-1
16 O. Nkambadio G
13 K. Dabila D
31 S. Chergui D
5 M. Mbow D
27 J. Gaudin D
14 C. Mandouki M
17 A. Camara M
7 A. Gory M
10 I. Kebbal M
23 J. Lukembila M
12 N. Dicko F
Bench (6)
2 T. Ollila
29 P. Hamel
4 V. Marchetti
18 L. Doucet
25 Y. Koré
1 R. Riou

Coach: S. Gilli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U
3,06
B ✓
3,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.