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Ligue 2

Referee: A Petit

Caen

U T S S T

3–1

Full-time

Paris FC

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 39%

40%

37%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

47%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

57%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%

7 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 7. · Paris FC 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	30	16	13	1	+26	61
2	Bordeaux	31	16	8	7	+16	56
3	Metz	31	15	10	6	+21	55
4	Sochaux	30	15	7	8	+23	52
5	Bastia	30	14	6	10	+1	48
6	Grenoble	30	13	8	9	+5	47
7	Caen	30	12	10	8	+5	46
8	St Etienne	30	11	9	10	+2	42
9	Quevilly Rouen	30	11	9	10	+1	42
10	Paris FC	30	11	7	12	-2	40
11	Amiens	30	11	7	12	-5	40
12	Guingamp	30	10	9	11	-2	39
13	Annecy	30	9	9	12	-7	36
14	Rodez	30	8	10	12	-8	34
15	Pau FC	30	8	10	12	-10	34
16	Valenciennes	30	7	12	11	-8	33
17	Laval	30	9	4	17	-12	31
18	Dijon	30	7	8	15	-10	29
19	Nimes	30	8	5	17	-12	29
20	Niort	30	7	5	18	-24	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	15	9	6	0	+14	33
2	Caen	15	9	5	1	+13	32
3	Sochaux	15	9	4	2	+18	31
4	Bordeaux	15	9	4	2	+12	31
5	Metz	16	8	6	2	+11	30
6	Bastia	15	9	2	4	+7	29
7	Grenoble	15	8	4	3	+5	28
8	St Etienne	15	7	4	4	+4	25
9	Quevilly Rouen	15	6	6	3	+6	24
10	Valenciennes	15	5	9	1	+5	24
11	Amiens	15	7	3	5	+2	24
12	Annecy	15	7	3	5	+1	24
13	Dijon	16	6	5	5	+1	23
14	Nimes	14	7	1	6	+3	22
15	Pau FC	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Laval	15	5	2	8	-2	17
17	Niort	15	5	2	8	-9	17
18	Paris FC	15	4	3	8	-4	15
19	Guingamp	15	4	3	8	-4	15
20	Rodez	15	3	5	7	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	15	7	7	1	+12	28
2	Metz	15	7	4	4	+10	25
3	Bordeaux	16	7	4	5	+4	25
4	Paris FC	15	7	4	4	+2	25
5	Guingamp	15	6	6	3	+2	24
6	Sochaux	15	6	3	6	+5	21
7	Rodez	15	5	5	5	+1	20
8	Grenoble	15	5	4	6	+0	19
9	Bastia	15	5	4	6	-6	19
10	Quevilly Rouen	15	5	3	7	-5	18
11	St Etienne	15	4	5	6	-2	17
12	Pau FC	15	4	4	7	-6	16
13	Amiens	15	4	4	7	-7	16
14	Caen	15	3	5	7	-8	14
15	Laval	15	4	2	9	-10	14
16	Annecy	15	2	6	7	-8	12
17	Valenciennes	15	2	3	10	-13	9
18	Niort	15	2	3	10	-15	9
19	Nimes	16	1	4	11	-15	7
20	Dijon	14	1	3	10	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.