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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Boulogne
T T S U S
1–2
Full-time
Rodez
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 62%
52%
71%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 23
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boulogne 13. · Rodez 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 21 12 5 4 +13 41
2 Reims 21 11 5 5 +14 38
3 Le Mans 21 10 8 3 +8 38
4 St Etienne 21 10 4 7 +9 34
5 Red Star 20 9 7 4 +8 34
6 Dunkerque 21 9 6 6 +12 33
7 Guingamp 21 9 5 7 +0 32
8 Annecy 21 9 4 8 +6 31
9 Montpellier 21 9 4 8 +3 31
10 Pau FC 21 8 7 6 -3 31
11 Rodez 21 6 9 6 -3 27
12 Grenoble 21 6 7 8 -5 25
13 Boulogne 21 6 5 10 -9 23
14 Clermont 21 5 7 9 -5 22
15 Nancy 21 6 4 11 -11 22
16 Amiens 21 5 4 12 -9 19
17 Laval 21 3 7 11 -15 16
18 Bastia 20 3 6 11 -13 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Aug -25 Rodez – Boulogne 1–0

Match report

Boulogne Rodez
Nolan Binet 🟨
5′
16′
T. Arconte 0–1
W. Younoussa
35′
🟨 Clément Jolibois
Half-time 0–2
51′
T. Arconte 0–2
C. Jolibois
52′
🟨 Ibrahima Baldé
1–2 S. Gourville
N. Fatar
61′
63′
🔁 S. Benchamma
↦ M. Saka
63′
🔁 K. Nagera
↦ T. Arconte
J. Martin 🔁
↦ A. El Farissi
68′
A. Platret 🔁
↦ S. Duflos
69′
A. Pinot 🔁
↦ N. Fatar
74′
Z. Moco 🔁
↦ N. Binet
74′
G. Capuano 🔁
↦ D. Thiam
75′
75′
🔁 A. Trouillet
↦ W. Younoussa
Julien Boyer 🟨
80′
Gabin Capuano 🟨
80′
87′
🔁 O. Joly
↦ I. Balde
Blondy Nna Noukeu 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Boulogne

4-1-4-1
99 B. Noukeu G
18 D. Thiam D
25 S. Gourville D
5 N. Zohore D
12 J. Boyer D
14 J. Bultel M
10 A. El Farissi M
22 S. Duflos M
19 N. Binet M
23 N. Fatar M
9 M. Lecolier F
Bench (7)
16 I. Kone
15 A. Pinot
21 A. Platret
90 J. Martin
97 Z. Moco
28 S. Paillard
26 G. Capuano

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
25 N. Galves D
5 C. Jolibois D
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
15 E. Jean-Lambert D
8 W. Younoussa M
6 J. Mendes M
28 M. Saka M
18 I. Balde F
11 T. Arconte F
Bench (7)
30 E. Crombez
13 C. Issanchou Roubiou
22 O. Joly
26 S. Benchamma
27 A. Trouillet
9 K. Nagera
10 M. Baaloudj

Coach: Didier Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U
3,21
B ✓
3,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.