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Serie B

Perugia

T T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Salernitana

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Salernitana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

48%

37%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 4

20 Free kicks against 23

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 13. · Salernitana 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	27	20	6	1	+35	66
2	Frosinone	27	13	8	6	+12	47
3	Crotone	27	14	4	9	+12	46
4	Pordenone	28	13	6	9	+3	45
5	Spezia	27	12	8	7	+10	44
6	Cittadella	28	12	7	9	+3	43
7	Salernitana	27	12	6	9	+5	42
8	Empoli	27	10	9	8	-1	39
9	Chievo	27	9	11	7	+5	38
10	Pescara	27	10	5	12	-2	35
11	Virtus Entella	27	9	8	10	-4	35
12	Pisa	27	8	9	10	-1	33
13	Perugia	27	9	6	12	-8	33
14	Juve Stabia	27	9	6	12	-10	33
15	Ascoli	26	9	5	12	-2	32
16	Venezia	27	7	11	9	-5	32
17	Cremonese	26	6	9	11	-6	27
18	Cosenza	27	5	9	13	-4	24
19	Trapani	27	5	9	13	-21	24
20	Livorno	27	4	6	17	-21	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	14	11	3	0	+24	36
2	Frosinone	13	9	3	1	+15	30
3	Crotone	14	9	3	2	+14	30
4	Pordenone	14	9	3	2	+11	30
5	Salernitana	13	8	4	1	+11	28
6	Spezia	14	8	3	3	+9	27
7	Ascoli	12	7	3	2	+8	24
8	Empoli	14	6	6	2	+7	24
9	Juve Stabia	14	7	2	5	+0	23
10	Virtus Entella	13	6	4	3	+2	22
11	Chievo	13	6	3	4	+5	21
12	Perugia	14	6	3	5	+1	21
13	Pescara	14	5	5	4	+5	20
14	Pisa	14	5	5	4	+2	20
15	Cremonese	13	5	4	4	+4	19
16	Cittadella	15	5	4	6	-3	19
17	Trapani	13	3	5	5	-2	14
18	Venezia	13	2	5	6	-6	11
19	Livorno	13	3	2	8	-11	11
20	Cosenza	13	2	4	7	-5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	13	9	3	1	+11	30
2	Cittadella	13	7	3	3	+6	24
3	Venezia	14	5	6	3	+1	21
4	Spezia	13	4	5	4	+1	17
5	Chievo	14	3	8	3	+0	17
6	Frosinone	14	4	5	5	-3	17
7	Crotone	13	5	1	7	-2	16
8	Pescara	13	5	0	8	-7	15
9	Pordenone	14	4	3	7	-8	15
10	Empoli	13	4	3	6	-8	15
11	Cosenza	14	3	5	6	+1	14
12	Salernitana	14	4	2	8	-6	14
13	Pisa	13	3	4	6	-3	13
14	Virtus Entella	14	3	4	7	-6	13
15	Perugia	13	3	3	7	-9	12
16	Juve Stabia	13	2	4	7	-10	10
17	Trapani	14	2	4	8	-19	10
18	Ascoli	14	2	2	10	-10	8
19	Cremonese	13	1	5	7	-10	8
20	Livorno	14	1	4	9	-10	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.