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Eredivisie
Referee: Richard Martens
Vitesse
U T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Twente
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
44%
28%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
68%
64%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
60%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
6 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 7. · Twente 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 25 18 2 5 +37 56
2 Ajax 24 17 2 5 +43 53
3 Feyenoord 24 13 8 3 +13 47
4 PSV Eindhoven 25 13 7 5 +25 46
5 Willem II 25 13 5 7 +5 44
6 Utrecht 24 11 5 8 +12 38
7 Vitesse 25 11 5 9 +9 38
8 Groningen 25 10 5 10 +2 35
9 Heracles 25 9 6 10 +4 33
10 Heerenveen 25 8 9 8 +2 33
11 Sparta Rotterdam 25 9 6 10 +0 33
12 FC Emmen 25 8 5 12 -16 29
13 VVV Venlo 25 8 4 13 -24 28
14 Twente 25 7 6 12 -11 27
15 Zwolle 26 7 5 14 -18 26
16 For Sittard 26 6 8 12 -23 26
17 Den Haag 26 4 7 15 -29 19
18 Waalwijk 25 4 3 18 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Twente
Sondre Tronstad 🟨
8′
Riechedly Bazoer 🟨
11′
J. Grot 🔁
↦ R. Bazoer
32′
Y. Oukili 🔁
↦ P. Vroegh
38′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Lindon Selahi
1–0 J. Grot
B. Linssen
70′
71′
🟨 Peet Bijen
T. Buitink 🔁
↦ J. Grot
72′
78′
🔁 R. Zekhnini
↦ Oriol Busquets
79′
🟨 Queensy Menig
Bryan Linssen 🟨
81′
86′
🔁 K. Nakamura
↦ N. Lang
86′
🔁 P. Verhaegh
↦ G. Troupée
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
17 E. Dasa D
28 J. Brenet D
3 A. Obispo D
30 D. Doekhi D
10 R. Bazoer M
8 S. Tronstad M
36 P. Vroegh M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
20 N. Dicko F
Bench (9)
7 J. Grot
37 Y. Oukili
29 T. Buitink
2 J. Lelieveld
18 T. Hajek
5 M. Clark
1 K. Lamprou
40 B. Bayazit
32 Ö. Aktas

Coach: E. Sturing

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
25 P. Bijen D
4 C. Verdonk D
5 Julio Pleguezuelo D
28 G. Troupée D
10 H. Vučkič F
21 G. Aburjania M
20 Oriol Busquets M
27 N. Lang F
18 L. Selahi M
11 Q. Menig F
Bench (11)
14 R. Zekhnini
13 K. Nakamura
2 P. Verhaegh
26 J. Brondeel
32 J. Bosch
6 W. Brama
29 G. Roemeratoe
22 J. de Lange
8 Javier Espinosa
17 T. Hölscher
3 X. Schenk

Coach: Gonzalo García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
4,11
B
4,96
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Richard Martens · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.