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Serie B
Salernitana
T S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Lecce
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Lecce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,8
Scored
1,3
3,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,2
This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
64%
45%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
45%
73%
Both score Ø 64%
55%
73%
Average goals
2,5
3,6
Scored
1,5
2,4
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

5 Shots 23
1 Shots on target 7
2 Corners 9
23 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 1. · Lecce 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salernitana 11 7 2 2 +7 23
2 Frosinone 12 7 2 3 +3 23
3 Empoli 11 6 4 1 +10 22
4 Spal 11 6 3 2 +8 21
5 Venezia 12 6 3 3 +6 21
6 Lecce 11 5 5 1 +12 20
7 Cittadella 10 5 2 3 +8 17
8 Chievo 10 5 2 3 +5 17
9 Monza 11 4 5 2 +2 17
10 Reggiana 11 4 2 5 -5 14
11 Brescia 11 3 4 4 +0 13
12 Pordenone 11 2 7 2 +0 13
13 Pisa 11 3 4 4 -9 13
14 Vicenza 10 2 6 2 +0 12
15 Reggina 12 2 4 6 -7 10
16 Cosenza 11 1 6 4 -3 9
17 Cremonese 11 1 6 4 -4 9
18 Pescara 11 2 1 8 -12 7
19 Ascoli 11 1 3 7 -8 6
20 Virtus Entella 11 0 5 6 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,60
U ✓
3,58
B
1,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.