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Serie B

Spal

S S S S S

4–0

Full-time

Pisa

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Pisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,3

4,5

Scored

1,7

Conceded

0,7

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,2

This season — Serie B · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 35%

56%

13%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

33%

75%

Both score Ø 72%

44%

100%

Average goals

2,4

4,1

Scored

1,6

Conceded

0,9

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

11 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 5

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 4. · Pisa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	9	6	2	1	+8	20
2	Lecce	9	5	3	1	+12	18
3	Empoli	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Spal	9	5	3	1	+6	18
5	Venezia	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	Frosinone	9	5	1	3	+1	16
7	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+7	14
8	Monza	9	3	5	1	+3	14
9	Chievo	8	4	2	2	+3	14
10	Pordenone	9	2	6	1	+1	12
11	Brescia	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Vicenza	8	1	5	2	-1	8
13	Cosenza	9	1	5	3	-2	8
14	Reggiana	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	Reggina	9	1	4	4	-4	7
16	Pisa	8	1	4	3	-7	7
17	Pescara	10	2	1	7	-11	7
18	Ascoli	9	1	2	6	-7	5
19	Virtus Entella	9	0	5	4	-9	5
20	Cremonese	8	0	4	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Venezia	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Empoli	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Spal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Lecce	4	2	2	0	+8	8
6	Monza	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Frosinone	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Brescia	5	1	3	1	+2	6
10	Chievo	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Pordenone	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Reggina	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Pescara	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Ascoli	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Vicenza	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Cosenza	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Pisa	3	0	2	1	-3	2
19	Cremonese	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Virtus Entella	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	5	3	1	1	+4	10
2	Frosinone	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Chievo	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Spal	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Pordenone	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Empoli	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Salernitana	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Monza	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Venezia	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Cosenza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Vicenza	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Pisa	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Virtus Entella	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Cremonese	5	0	3	2	-2	3
16	Brescia	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Reggina	5	0	3	2	-4	3
18	Pescara	5	1	0	4	-8	3
19	Reggiana	4	1	0	3	-8	3
20	Ascoli	4	0	1	3	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.