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Serie B

Lecce

U S S T S

2–1

Full-time

Cremonese

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Cremonese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

This season — Serie B · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 52%

50%

53%

Points per game

1,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

37%

Both score Ø 46%

44%

47%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

10 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

10 Corners 5

11 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 6. · Cremonese 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	20	11	6	3	+12	39
2	Brescia	20	11	5	4	+12	38
3	Benevento	20	10	5	5	+13	35
4	Cremonese	19	10	5	4	+12	35
5	Monza	20	9	8	3	+7	35
6	Lecce	18	9	7	2	+15	34
7	Frosinone	20	8	10	2	+14	34
8	Ascoli	20	9	5	6	+2	32
9	Cittadella	19	8	6	5	+3	30
10	Perugia	20	6	10	4	+2	28
11	Como	20	6	8	6	+1	26
12	Ternana	20	6	6	8	-2	24
13	Parma	19	5	8	6	-1	23
14	Reggina	20	6	5	9	-11	23
15	Spal	20	5	7	8	-4	22
16	Alessandria	19	6	2	11	-8	20
17	Cosenza	19	4	4	11	-16	16
18	Crotone	19	2	6	11	-12	12
19	Pordenone	20	2	5	13	-22	11
20	Vicenza	18	2	2	14	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	10	8	2	0	+11	26
2	Pisa	10	6	3	1	+6	21
3	Benevento	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Cremonese	10	5	4	1	+7	19
5	Lecce	8	5	3	0	+12	18
6	Cittadella	9	5	2	2	+6	17
7	Frosinone	10	3	6	1	+5	15
8	Como	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Brescia	10	3	4	3	+1	13
10	Perugia	10	3	4	3	+0	13
11	Ternana	10	4	1	5	-1	13
12	Cosenza	10	4	1	5	-2	13
13	Alessandria	10	4	1	5	-4	13
14	Spal	11	2	5	4	+0	11
15	Reggina	10	3	2	5	-6	11
16	Parma	9	2	4	3	-1	10
17	Crotone	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	Ascoli	9	2	3	4	-5	9
19	Pordenone	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Vicenza	9	0	2	7	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	10	8	1	1	+11	25
2	Ascoli	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Frosinone	10	5	4	1	+9	19
4	Pisa	10	5	3	2	+6	18
5	Cremonese	9	5	1	3	+5	16
6	Lecce	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Benevento	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Perugia	10	3	6	1	+2	15
9	Parma	10	3	4	3	+0	13
10	Como	10	3	4	3	-1	13
11	Cittadella	10	3	4	3	-3	13
12	Reggina	10	3	3	4	-5	12
13	Ternana	10	2	5	3	-1	11
14	Spal	9	3	2	4	-4	11
15	Monza	10	1	6	3	-4	9
16	Alessandria	9	2	1	6	-4	7
17	Vicenza	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	Pordenone	10	1	2	7	-13	5
19	Cosenza	9	0	3	6	-14	3
20	Crotone	9	0	2	7	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.