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Ligue 1

Referee: P Gaillouste

Nantes

S S S U T

4–2

Full-time

Lorient

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

14%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 55%

52%

57%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 11. · Lorient 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	21	15	5	1	+24	50
2	Nice	22	13	4	5	+18	43
3	Marseille	21	11	7	3	+14	40
4	Strasbourg	21	10	5	6	+16	35
5	Rennes	21	10	4	7	+21	34
6	Monaco	21	9	6	6	+10	33
7	Lens	22	9	6	7	+5	33
8	Lyon	21	8	8	5	+2	32
9	Lille	22	8	8	6	+0	32
10	Montpellier	21	9	4	8	+6	31
11	Nantes	21	8	5	8	+1	29
12	Brest	22	7	7	8	-5	28
13	Angers	20	6	8	6	-1	26
14	Reims	21	5	9	7	-1	24
15	Troyes	21	5	5	11	-10	20
16	Metz	22	4	7	11	-19	19
17	Clermont	21	4	6	11	-18	18
18	Lorient	21	3	8	10	-18	17
19	Bordeaux	21	3	8	10	-20	17
20	St Etienne	21	2	6	13	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	9	1	0	+17	28
2	Rennes	11	7	1	3	+17	22
3	Monaco	11	6	3	2	+12	21
4	Strasbourg	11	6	2	3	+13	20
5	Montpellier	11	6	2	3	+8	20
6	Lyon	11	5	5	1	+7	20
7	Lens	11	5	4	2	+8	19
8	Lille	10	5	4	1	+3	19
9	Nice	11	5	3	3	+3	18
10	Marseille	11	4	5	2	+6	17
11	Nantes	10	5	2	3	+4	17
12	Brest	11	4	3	4	-1	15
13	Angers	9	4	1	4	+0	13
14	Lorient	10	3	4	3	-1	13
15	Reims	10	3	3	4	+0	12
16	Troyes	11	2	4	5	-2	10
17	Clermont	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	Bordeaux	11	1	4	6	-6	7
19	Metz	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	St Etienne	11	1	4	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	11	8	1	2	+15	25
2	Marseille	10	7	2	1	+8	23
3	Paris SG	11	6	4	1	+7	22
4	Strasbourg	10	4	3	3	+3	15
5	Lens	11	4	2	5	-3	14
6	Angers	11	2	7	2	-1	13
7	Lille	12	3	4	5	-3	13
8	Brest	11	3	4	4	-4	13
9	Rennes	10	3	3	4	+4	12
10	Reims	11	2	6	3	-1	12
11	Monaco	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Lyon	10	3	3	4	-5	12
14	Metz	11	3	3	5	-10	12
15	Montpellier	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Troyes	10	3	1	6	-8	10
17	Bordeaux	10	2	4	4	-14	10
18	Clermont	11	2	2	7	-15	8
19	St Etienne	10	1	2	7	-13	5
20	Lorient	11	0	4	7	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.