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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Paris SG
U S U U S
4–0
Full-time
Reims
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 48%
71%
24%
Points per game
2,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
52%
33%
Both score Ø 57%
62%
52%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%
22 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
14 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Reims 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 21 15 5 1 +24 50
2 Nice 22 13 4 5 +18 43
3 Marseille 21 11 7 3 +14 40
4 Strasbourg 22 10 5 7 +15 35
5 Rennes 22 10 4 8 +20 34
6 Montpellier 22 10 4 8 +7 34
7 Monaco 22 9 6 7 +9 33
8 Lens 22 9 6 7 +5 33
9 Nantes 22 9 5 8 +3 32
10 Lyon 21 8 8 5 +2 32
11 Lille 22 8 8 6 +0 32
12 Angers 21 7 8 6 +0 29
13 Brest 22 7 7 8 -5 28
14 Reims 21 5 9 7 -1 24
15 Clermont 22 5 6 11 -17 21
16 Troyes 22 5 5 12 -11 20
17 Bordeaux 22 4 8 10 -19 20
18 Metz 22 4 7 11 -19 19
19 Lorient 22 3 8 11 -20 17
20 St Etienne 21 2 6 13 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Reims
1–0 M. Verratti
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Moreto Cassamá
↦ T. Foket
46′
🔁 D. Lopy
↦ A. Matusiwa
56′
🟨 Dion Lopy
57′
🔁 M. Adeline
↦ N. Mbuku
2–0 Sergio Ramos
62′
L. Messi 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
63′
64′
🔁 A. Donis
↦ J. Cajuste
3–0 M. Verratti
L. Messi
67′
4–0 Danilo Pereira
K. Mbappé
75′
Ander Herrera 🔁
↦ M. Verratti
76′
J. Draxler 🔁
↦ K. Mbappé
77′
81′
🔁 A. Flips
↦ D. Lopy
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 K. Navas G
4 Sergio Ramos D
5 Marquinhos D
24 T. Kehrer D
25 Nuno Mendes D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
15 Danilo Pereira M
8 L. Paredes M
9 M. Icardi F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (9)
30 L. Messi
21 Ander Herrera
23 J. Draxler
28 E. Ebimbe
17 C. Dagba
34 X. Simons
38 E. Michut
40 D. Franchi
3 P. Kimpembe

Coach: M. Pochettino

Reims

5-4-1
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
32 T. Foket D
2 W. Faes D
6 A. Gravillon D
4 M. Busi D
28 B. Locko M
21 A. Matusiwa M
8 J. Cajuste M
11 N. Mbuku M
22 H. Ekitike F
Bench (9)
23 Moreto Cassamá
26 D. Lopy
33 M. Adeline
17 A. Donis
12 A. Flips
30 N. Penneteau
29 M. Mbow
27 P. Koffi
20 I. Kebbal

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,21
U
6,76
B
13,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,48
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.