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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Mechelen
T T S S T
0–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,2
3,8
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,3
This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 53%
45%
60%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
60%
65%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
1,6
2,8
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
3 Shots 8
0 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 11. · Anderlecht 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 22 18 2 2 +41 56
2 Anderlecht 20 12 7 1 +36 43
3 Club Brugge 20 12 5 3 +15 41
4 Antwerp 20 12 3 5 +15 39
5 Kortrijk 24 10 9 5 +8 39
6 Charleroi 19 9 5 5 +9 32
7 Genk 19 9 4 6 +16 31
8 Cercle Brugge 24 9 4 11 +3 31
9 St Truiden 25 9 3 13 -9 30
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 7 8 9 -4 29
11 Mechelen 20 9 2 9 -5 29
12 Standard 23 7 7 9 -11 28
13 Gent 18 7 6 5 +7 27
14 Eupen 24 7 5 12 -9 26
15 Oostende 23 8 2 13 -20 26
16 Waregem 22 6 5 11 -18 23
17 Seraing 23 6 1 16 -25 19
18 Seraing United 23 6 1 16 -25 19
19 Beerschot VA 23 4 3 16 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Anderlecht
23′
J. Zirkzee 0–1
B. Raman
Half-time 0–1
M. Shved 🔁
↦ F. Druijf
63′
Maryan Shved 🟨
70′
Jordi Vanlerberghe 🟨
72′
N. Storm 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
73′
75′
🔁 F. Amuzu
↦ B. Raman
O. Kaya 🔁
↦ T. Peyre
80′
83′
🔁 M. Ashimeru
↦ Y. Verschaeren
83′
🔁 H. Delcroix
↦ L. Refaelov
85′
🟨 Michael Murillo
87′
🔁 M. Stroeykens
↦ J. Zirkzee
Vinicius De Souza Costa 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Kristoffer Olsson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
15 Y. Thoelen G
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
4 D. Wouters M
7 G. Hairemans M
33 Vinicius Souza M
19 K. Mrabti M
14 H. Cuypers M
9 F. Druijf F
Bench (7)
35 M. Shved
11 N. Storm
8 O. Kaya
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
12 R. Paeshuyse
1 G. Coucke
6 J. Van Hecke

Coach: W. Vrancken

Anderlecht

4-4-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
2 L. Magallán D
4 W. Hoedt D
62 M. Murillo D
17 Sergio Gómez D
11 L. Refaelov M
20 K. Olsson M
8 J. Cullen M
51 Y. Verschaeren M
9 B. Raman F
23 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (7)
7 F. Amuzu
18 M. Ashimeru
3 H. Delcroix
52 M. Stroeykens
14 B. Mykhaylichenko
16 B. Verbruggen
46 A. Ait El Hadj

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,18
U
3,94
B ✓
1,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.