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Serie B

Perugia

U U U T S

3–0

Full-time

Frosinone

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Frosinone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

43%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

24%

43%

Both score Ø 53%

48%

57%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

18 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 1

7 Corners 4

17 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 10. · Frosinone 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	21	11	8	2	+17	41
2	Cremonese	22	12	5	5	+14	41
3	Pisa	22	11	8	3	+12	41
4	Brescia	21	11	6	4	+12	39
5	Monza	22	10	8	4	+10	38
6	Frosinone	21	9	10	2	+16	37
7	Benevento	21	10	6	5	+13	36
8	Ascoli	21	9	5	7	+1	32
9	Cittadella	22	8	8	6	+1	32
10	Perugia	21	7	10	4	+3	31
11	Parma	22	6	10	6	+2	28
12	Ternana	22	7	7	8	+0	28
13	Como	21	6	9	6	+1	27
14	Spal	22	5	8	9	-8	23
15	Reggina	21	6	5	10	-13	23
16	Alessandria	21	6	3	12	-9	21
17	Cosenza	22	4	7	11	-16	19
18	Crotone	21	2	8	11	-12	14
19	Vicenza	22	3	3	16	-19	12
20	Pordenone	22	2	6	14	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Lecce	10	7	3	0	+14	24
3	Cremonese	11	6	4	1	+8	22
4	Pisa	11	6	4	1	+6	22
5	Benevento	11	6	3	2	+10	21
6	Frosinone	11	4	6	1	+7	18
7	Cittadella	11	5	3	3	+4	18
8	Ternana	11	5	1	5	+1	16
9	Como	11	3	5	3	+2	14
10	Parma	11	3	5	3	+2	14
11	Cosenza	11	4	2	5	-2	14
12	Alessandria	11	4	2	5	-4	14
13	Brescia	10	3	4	3	+1	13
14	Perugia	10	3	4	3	+0	13
15	Spal	11	2	5	4	+0	11
16	Crotone	11	2	5	4	-3	11
17	Reggina	10	3	2	5	-6	11
18	Ascoli	10	2	3	5	-6	9
19	Pordenone	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	Vicenza	11	1	3	7	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	11	8	2	1	+11	26
2	Ascoli	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Frosinone	10	5	4	1	+9	19
4	Cremonese	11	6	1	4	+6	19
5	Pisa	11	5	4	2	+6	19
6	Perugia	11	4	6	1	+3	18
7	Lecce	11	4	5	2	+3	17
8	Benevento	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Parma	11	3	5	3	+0	14
10	Cittadella	11	3	5	3	-3	14
11	Como	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Ternana	11	2	6	3	-1	12
13	Reggina	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Spal	11	3	3	5	-8	12
15	Monza	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Alessandria	10	2	1	7	-5	7
17	Vicenza	11	2	0	9	-11	6
18	Cosenza	11	0	5	6	-14	5
19	Pordenone	11	1	2	8	-16	5
20	Crotone	10	0	3	7	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.