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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Vitesse
U S S T T
0–5
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 19/21 matches
Win Ø 62%
53%
71%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
63%
76%
Both score Ø 60%
53%
67%
Average goals
2,9
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 13
8 Blocked shots 1
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 7. · PSV Eindhoven 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 21 16 3 2 +59 51
2 PSV Eindhoven 21 15 1 5 +21 46
3 Feyenoord 21 14 3 4 +31 45
4 Twente 21 12 5 4 +12 41
5 AZ Alkmaar 19 11 2 6 +12 35
6 Utrecht 21 10 5 6 +11 35
7 Vitesse 19 10 2 7 -5 32
8 Cambuur 22 9 3 10 -9 30
9 Nijmegen 21 7 6 8 -5 27
10 Groningen 22 6 7 9 -6 25
11 Heerenveen 20 7 4 9 -8 25
12 Heracles 22 6 5 11 -7 23
13 Waalwijk 21 5 7 9 -10 22
14 Go Ahead Eagles 21 6 4 11 -13 22
15 Willem II 21 6 3 12 -19 21
16 For Sittard 22 5 4 13 -26 19
17 Zwolle 22 4 4 14 -19 16
18 Sparta Rotterdam 21 2 8 11 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse PSV Eindhoven
4′
E. Zahavi 0–1
24′
Mauro Júnior 0–2
C. Gakpo
28′
C. Gakpo 0–3
N. Madueke
Riechedly Bazoer 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–3
A. Oroz 🔁
↦ R. Bazoer
46′
T. Domgjoni 🔁
↦ N. Frederiksen
46′
59′
🔁 Carlos Vinícius
↦ E. Zahavi
60′
🔁 R. Dōan
↦ N. Madueke
62′
Carlos Vinícius 0–4
I. Sangaré
Alois Oroz 🟨
67′
72′
🔁 J. Veerman
↦ M. Götze
73′
🔁 Bruma
↦ C. Gakpo
T. Buitink 🔁
↦ A. Grbić
74′
P. Vroegh 🔁
↦ S. Tronstad
79′
88′
R. Dōan 0–5
J. Veerman
89′
🔁 M. van Ginkel
↦ É. Gutiérrez
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Vitesse

3-4-3
24 J. Houwen G
2 E. Dasa M
32 M. Wittek M
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
8 S. Tronstad M
9 A. Grbić F
7 L. Openda F
11 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (12)
16 A. Oroz
22 T. Domgjoni
29 T. Buitink
36 P. Vroegh
40 D. Huisman
27 R. Yapi
1 M. Schubert
54 G. de Regt
20 Y. Gboho
18 T. Hájek
42 M. Manhoef
33 D. Reiziger

Coach: T. Letsch

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
16 J. Drommel G
29 P. Mwene D
18 O. Boscagli D
3 J. Teze D
27 M. Götze M
15 É. Gutiérrez M
17 Mauro Júnior D
6 I. Sangaré M
7 E. Zahavi F
11 C. Gakpo M
10 N. Madueke M
Bench (10)
9 Carlos Vinícius
25 R. Dōan
23 J. Veerman
19 Bruma
8 M. van Ginkel
38 Y. Mvogo
31 P. Max
4 A. Obispo
13 V. Müller
32 Y. Vertessen

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,68
U
3,92
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.