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Serie A
Referee: M Piccinini
Lazio
U T S U S
3–0
Full-time
Bologna
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 41%
46%
35%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
79%
57%
Both score Ø 56%
63%
48%
Average goals
3,7
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 6. · Bologna 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 23 16 5 2 +35 53
2 Napoli 24 16 4 4 +29 52
3 Milan 24 16 4 4 +23 52
4 Juventus 24 13 6 5 +15 45
5 Atalanta 23 12 7 4 +17 43
6 Lazio 24 11 6 7 +10 39
7 Roma 24 12 3 9 +10 39
8 Fiorentina 23 11 3 9 +8 36
9 Verona 24 9 6 9 +3 33
10 Torino 23 9 5 9 +7 32
11 Empoli 24 8 6 10 -10 30
12 Sassuolo 24 7 8 9 -3 29
13 Bologna 23 8 4 11 -8 28
14 Spezia 24 7 5 12 -18 26
15 Udinese 22 5 9 8 -6 24
16 Sampdoria 24 6 5 13 -8 23
17 Cagliari 24 4 8 12 -21 20
18 Venezia 23 4 6 13 -22 18
19 Genoa 24 1 11 12 -25 14
20 Salernitana 22 3 3 16 -36 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Bologna
1–0 C. Immobile
13′
20′
🟨 Mattias Svanberg
Luis Alberto 🟨
40′
45′
🟨 Gary Medel
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Barrow
↦ R. Soriano
46′
🔁 D. Kasius
↦ M. Dijks
2–0 M. Zaccagni
Luis Alberto
53′
Lucas Leiva 🟨
58′
58′
🔁 K. Bonifazi
↦ A. Soumaoro
3–0 M. Zaccagni
M. Lazzari
63′
Felipe Anderson 🔁
↦ Pedro
66′
D. Cataldi 🔁
↦ Lucas Leiva
66′
66′
🔁 M. Aebischer
↦ J. Schouten
Raul Moro 🔁
↦ M. Zaccagni
78′
Ş. Radu 🔁
↦ Patric
78′
78′
🔁 E. Vignato
↦ A. Hickey
T. Bašić 🔁
↦ S. Milinković-Savić
83′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3
1 T. Strakosha G
4 Patric D
77 A. Marušić D
3 Luiz Felipe D
6 Lucas Leiva M
10 Luis Alberto M
29 M. Lazzari D
20 M. Zaccagni F
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
9 Pedro F
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
7 Felipe Anderson
32 D. Cataldi
27 Raul Moro
26 Ş. Radu
88 T. Bašić
28 A. Anderson
18 L. Romero
31 M. Adamonis
11 Jovane Cabral
23 E. Hysaj
16 D. Kamenović
25 Pepe Reina

Coach: M. Sarri

Bologna

3-5-2
28 Ł. Skorupski G
17 G. Medel D
5 A. Soumaoro D
35 M. Dijks M
6 A. Theate D
3 A. Hickey M
21 R. Soriano M
32 M. Svanberg M
30 J. Schouten M
9 M. Arnautović F
7 R. Orsolini F
Bench (11)
99 M. Barrow
71 D. Kasius
4 K. Bonifazi
20 M. Aebischer
55 E. Vignato
22 F. Bardi
12 M. Molla
14 N. Viola
10 N. Sansone
2 L. Binks
15 I. Mbaye

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,98
B
4,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.