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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Blackpool
S S U S U
1–2
Full-time
Bournemouth
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackpool Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Championship · 31/30 matches
Win Ø 46%
39%
53%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
55%
43%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 7
4 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackpool 14. · Bournemouth 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 30 19 7 4 +52 64
2 Bournemouth 30 16 8 6 +22 56
3 Blackburn 32 16 8 8 +16 56
4 QPR 30 15 7 8 +12 52
5 Sheffield United 30 15 6 9 +12 51
6 West Brom 32 14 9 9 +12 51
7 Huddersfield 31 13 11 7 +8 50
8 Middlesbrough 30 14 7 9 +8 49
9 Preston 33 12 12 9 +1 48
10 Luton 29 13 8 8 +11 47
11 Coventry 30 13 8 9 +10 47
12 Nott'm Forest 29 13 6 10 +10 45
13 Stoke 30 13 6 11 +8 45
14 Blackpool 31 12 8 11 +0 44
15 Bristol City 32 11 7 14 -13 40
16 Derby 31 9 12 10 -1 39
17 Swansea 30 10 8 12 -6 38
18 Millwall 30 9 10 11 -4 37
19 Cardiff 31 10 6 15 -9 36
20 Birmingham 33 8 10 15 -18 34
21 Hull 31 9 5 17 -10 32
22 Reading 30 9 4 17 -21 31
23 Peterborough 28 5 5 18 -36 20
24 Peterboro 29 5 5 19 -37 20
25 Barnsley 30 2 9 19 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackpool Bournemouth
1–0 J. Bowler
37′
Half-time 1–0
O. Casey 🔁
↦ M. Ekpiteta
61′
70′
🔁 J. Lowe
↦ J. Stacey
S. Lavery 🔁
↦ J. Yates
74′
79′
🔁 E. Marcondes
↦ P. Billing
84′
🔁 L. Davis
↦ J. Zemura
85′
🟨 Emiliano Marcondes
86′
J. Lowe 1–1
Dujon Sterling 🟨
89′
Callum Connolly 🟨
94′
95′
S. Dembélé 1–2
E. Marcondes
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Blackpool

4-4-2
32 D. Grimshaw G
2 C. Connolly M
21 M. Ekpiteta D
35 D. Sterling D
34 J. Thorniley D
4 J. Lawrence-Gabriel D
6 K. Stewart M
11 J. Bowler M
14 G. Madine F
9 J. Yates F
22 C. Hamilton M
Bench (7)
20 O. Casey
19 S. Lavery
13 S. Moore
12 K. Dougall
7 O. Dale
28 J. Beesley
5 R. James

Coach: N. Critchley

Bournemouth

4-3-3
42 M. Travers G
17 J. Stacey D
2 N. Phillips D
5 L. Kelly D
33 J. Zemura D
4 L. Cook M
29 P. Billing M
14 T. Cantwell M
37 S. Dembélé F
9 D. Solanke F
32 J. Anthony F
Bench (7)
18 J. Lowe
11 E. Marcondes
20 L. Davis
23 J. Hill
1 F. Woodman
22 B. Pearson
6 C. Mepham

Coach: S. Parker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,02
U
3,47
B ✓
1,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.