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Championship
Referee: P Bankes
QPR
T U T T T
0–3
Full-time
Burnley
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Burnley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 48%
43%
52%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
48%
43%
Both score Ø 58%
48%
67%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match QPR 9. · Burnley 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 21 11 8 2 +17 41
2 Sheffield United 22 12 5 5 +17 41
3 Blackburn 22 12 0 10 -1 36
4 Norwich 22 10 5 7 +7 35
5 Preston 22 9 7 6 +1 34
6 Watford 21 9 6 6 +6 33
7 Millwall 22 9 5 8 +1 32
8 Reading 22 10 2 10 -6 32
9 QPR 21 9 4 8 +2 31
10 Swansea 22 8 7 7 -2 31
11 Middlesbrough 21 8 6 7 +5 30
12 Sunderland 20 8 5 7 +6 29
13 Birmingham 22 7 8 7 +3 29
14 Luton 21 7 8 6 +0 29
15 Bristol City 22 7 6 9 +0 27
16 Coventry 19 7 5 7 +1 26
17 Rotherham 22 6 8 8 -3 26
18 Stoke 22 7 5 10 -5 26
19 Cardiff 22 7 4 11 -8 25
20 Wigan 22 6 6 10 -10 24
21 Hull 21 7 3 11 -14 24
22 West Brom 20 5 8 7 +0 23
23 Blackpool 22 6 5 11 -9 23
24 Huddersfield 21 5 4 12 -8 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Burnley
19′
J. Guðmunds­son 0–1
Half-time 0–1
A. Adomah 🔁
↦ C. Willock
46′
O. Shodipo 🔁
↦ G. Thomas
46′
47′
I. Maatsen 0–2
52′
🟨 Jack Cork
Tim Iroegbunam 🟨
56′
71′
N. Tella 0–3
74′
🔁 B. Manuel
↦ J. Guðmunds­son
S. Armstrong 🔁
↦ A. Dozzell
76′
81′
🔁 A. Barnes
↦ J. Rodríguez
88′
🔁 C. Taylor
↦ I. Maatsen
89′
🔁 S. Twine
↦ N. Tella
89′
🔁 D. Churlinov
↦ J. Cork
92′
🟨 Josh Cullen
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

QPR

4-3-3
1 S. Dieng G
22 K. Paal D
5 J. Clarke-Salter D
3 J. Dunne D
27 E. Laird D
14 G. Thomas F
17 A. Dozzell M
15 S. Field M
47 T. Iroegbunam M
7 C. Willock F
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
37 A. Adomah
25 O. Shodipo
30 S. Armstrong
2 O. Kakay
13 J. Archer
4 R. Dickie
20 T. Richards

Coach: P. Hall

Burnley

4-2-3-1
49 A. Murić G
36 J. Beyer D
5 T. Harwood-Bellis D
29 I. Maatsen D
22 Vitinho D
4 J. Cork M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
8 J. Brownhill M
23 N. Tella M
24 J. Cullen M
9 J. Rodríguez F
Bench (7)
17 B. Manuel
10 A. Barnes
3 C. Taylor
11 S. Twine
27 D. Churlinov
26 S. Bastien
15 B. Peacock-Farrell

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,05
U
3,40
B ✓
2,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Bankes · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.