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Serie B
Referee: R Abisso
Benevento
U S U T S
1–0
Full-time
Cittadella
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
31%
31%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
6 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 0
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benevento 15. · Cittadella 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 16 11 2 3 +15 35
2 Reggina 16 9 2 5 +12 29
3 Bari 16 6 8 2 +9 26
4 Genoa 16 7 5 4 +5 26
5 Ternana 16 7 4 5 +2 25
6 Brescia 16 6 6 4 -1 24
7 Parma 16 6 5 5 +4 23
8 Pisa 16 5 7 4 +6 22
9 Cagliari 17 5 7 5 -1 22
10 Sudtirol 16 5 7 4 -3 22
11 Modena 16 6 3 7 +1 21
12 Ascoli 16 5 6 5 +0 21
13 Palermo 16 5 4 7 -4 19
14 Cittadella 16 4 7 5 -6 19
15 Benevento 16 4 6 6 -2 18
16 Cosenza 16 4 5 7 -9 17
17 Spal 16 3 7 6 -2 16
18 Venezia 16 4 4 8 -6 16
19 Como 16 3 7 6 -9 16
20 Perugia 17 3 4 10 -11 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benevento Cittadella
1–0 A. Tello
Diego Farias
22′
I. Koutsoupias 🔁
↦ Diego Farias
24′
29′
🟨 Santiago Visentin
Kamil Glik 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
N. Manfredini 🔁
↦ A. Paleari
46′
46′
🔁 A. Mattioli
↦ D. Donnarumma
60′
🟨 Mirko Antonucci
K. Kubica 🔁
↦ P. Schiattarella
65′
65′
🔁 D. Mazzocco
↦ N. Pavan
65′
🔁 A. Vita
↦ M. Antonucci
Andrés Tello 🟨
66′
M. Viviani 🔁
↦ A. Tello
66′
71′
🟨 Ignacio Lores Varela
74′
🔁 Raúl Asencio
↦ Carlos Embaló
Ilias Koutsoupias 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 V. Mastrantonio
↦ A. Danzi
F. Veseli 🔁
↦ E. Masciangelo
90′
97′
🟨 Elhan Kastrati
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Benevento

4-3-2-1
21 A. Paleari G
16 R. Improta D
15 K. Glik D
96 R. Capellini D
5 E. Masciangelo D
7 N. Karić M
27 P. Schiattarella M
4 G. Acampora M
8 A. Tello M
10 Diego Farias M
88 F. Forte F
Bench (12)
80 I. Koutsoupias
12 N. Manfredini
6 K. Kubica
24 M. Viviani
55 F. Veseli
14 P. Thiam
58 C. Pastina
25 S. Nwankwo
18 D. Foulon
30 A. Basit
36 F. Perlingieri
22 I. Lucatelli

Coach: F. Cannavaro

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
84 T. Cassandro D
15 D. Frare D
6 S. Visentin D
17 D. Donnarumma D
72 A. Danzi M
26 N. Pavan M
23 S. Branca M
10 M. Antonucci M
7 Carlos Embaló F
30 I. Lores F
Bench (9)
18 A. Mattioli
8 D. Mazzocco
16 A. Vita
90 Raúl Asencio
29 V. Mastrantonio
19 V. Ciriello
5 D. Del Fabro
77 L. Maniero
3 G. Felicioli

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,22
U
2,99
B
3,56
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,37
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.