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Serie B

Referee: N Baroni

Parma

T S T S U

0–1

Full-time

Ascoli

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

38%

29%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

38%

42%

Both score Ø 48%

42%

54%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 1

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 8. · Ascoli 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	24	17	3	4	+26	54
2	Genoa	24	12	7	5	+9	43
3	Bari	24	10	9	5	+14	39
4	Reggina	24	12	3	9	+10	39
5	Sudtirol	24	10	9	5	+1	39
6	Pisa	25	8	11	6	+10	35
7	Cagliari	24	9	8	7	+2	35
8	Parma	24	9	7	8	+4	34
9	Modena	24	10	4	10	+3	34
10	Palermo	24	9	7	8	-2	34
11	Ternana	24	9	7	8	-3	34
12	Ascoli	24	7	8	9	-3	29
13	Venezia	25	7	7	11	-5	28
14	Como	24	6	9	9	-8	27
15	Cittadella	24	6	9	9	-10	27
16	Perugia	24	7	5	12	-5	26
17	Brescia	24	6	7	11	-15	25
18	Spal	24	5	9	10	-4	24
19	Benevento	24	5	8	11	-7	23
20	Cosenza	24	5	7	12	-17	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	12	10	2	0	+18	32
2	Cagliari	13	8	3	2	+6	27
3	Parma	12	7	1	4	+7	22
4	Ternana	12	6	4	2	+4	22
5	Genoa	12	5	6	1	+6	21
6	Palermo	12	6	3	3	+4	21
7	Reggina	12	6	2	4	+8	20
8	Sudtirol	13	4	7	2	+1	19
9	Pisa	12	5	3	4	+7	18
10	Modena	11	5	3	3	+7	18
11	Bari	12	4	5	3	+7	17
12	Cosenza	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Como	12	4	4	4	-1	16
14	Brescia	13	4	4	5	-2	16
15	Perugia	11	4	3	4	+0	15
16	Cittadella	11	3	5	3	-2	14
17	Ascoli	12	3	4	5	-3	13
18	Spal	12	3	3	6	+0	12
19	Venezia	13	3	3	7	-6	12
20	Benevento	12	2	3	7	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	12	7	1	4	+8	22
2	Bari	12	6	4	2	+7	22
3	Genoa	12	7	1	4	+3	22
4	Sudtirol	11	6	2	3	+0	20
5	Reggina	12	6	1	5	+2	19
6	Pisa	13	3	8	2	+3	17
7	Venezia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
8	Ascoli	12	4	4	4	+0	16
9	Modena	13	5	1	7	-4	16
10	Benevento	12	3	5	4	+0	14
11	Palermo	12	3	4	5	-6	13
12	Cittadella	13	3	4	6	-8	13
13	Parma	12	2	6	4	-3	12
14	Spal	12	2	6	4	-4	12
15	Ternana	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	Perugia	13	3	2	8	-5	11
17	Como	12	2	5	5	-7	11
18	Brescia	11	2	3	6	-13	9
19	Cagliari	11	1	5	5	-4	8
20	Cosenza	12	1	3	8	-17	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.