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Premier League

Referee: Martin Atkinson

Burnley

S U T T S

0–1

Full-time

West Brom

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley West Brom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

1,0

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 8

0 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Burnley 6. · West Brom 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-4	1
13	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	0
11	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.