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Serie B

Referee: N Baroni

Brescia

U U U U S

0–1

Full-time

Modena

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,2

1,7

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 7/9 matches

Win Ø 38%

43%

33%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 11%

22%

Both score Ø 37%

29%

44%

Average goals

1,1

1,8

Scored

0,9

Conceded

0,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

6 Shots 14

0 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 7

13 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 7. · Modena 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Catanzaro	10	6	3	1	+5	21
3	Palermo	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Venezia	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	Cosenza	10	4	2	4	+3	14
6	Como	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Brescia	7	3	4	0	+4	13
8	Sudtirol	9	3	4	2	+3	13
9	Cremonese	10	3	4	3	+1	13
10	Modena	9	3	4	2	+0	13
11	Cittadella	10	3	4	3	-3	13
12	Ascoli	10	3	3	4	+0	12
13	Pisa	9	3	3	3	+0	12
14	Bari	10	1	8	1	+0	11
15	Reggiana	10	2	5	3	-4	11
16	Sampdoria	10	2	3	5	-3	9
17	Spezia	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Ternana	10	1	3	6	-4	6
19	FeralpiSalo	10	1	2	7	-14	5
20	Lecco	7	0	1	6	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Venezia	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Catanzaro	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	-1	8
5	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	+4	7
6	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Palermo	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Como	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Modena	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Brescia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Reggiana	5	1	3	1	-1	6
12	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Ternana	6	1	2	3	+0	5
14	Bari	5	0	5	0	+0	5
15	Pisa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Sampdoria	5	1	0	4	-3	3
17	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Spezia	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	FeralpiSalo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Lecco	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Catanzaro	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Cremonese	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Parma	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Venezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Brescia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Como	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Modena	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Sampdoria	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Cittadella	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Reggiana	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Ascoli	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	FeralpiSalo	6	1	1	4	-10	4
19	Ternana	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Lecco	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.