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Champions League
Referee: I Peljto
Union Berlin
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Napoli
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,45 xG 0,25
41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Union Berlin Napoli
Christopher Trimmel 🟨
10′
17′
🟨 Amir Rrahmani
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Elmas
↦ J. Cajuste
Robin Gosens 🟨
51′
Janik Haberer 🟨
53′
65′
⚽ G. Raspadori 0–1
K. Kvaratskhelia
A. Laïdouni 🔁
↦ B. Aaronson
70′
A. Král 🔁
↦ R. Khedira
70′
K. Behrens 🔁
↦ D. Fofana
70′
71′
🔁 M. Olivera
↦ Mário Rui
71′
🔁 G. Simeone
↦ G. Raspadori
L. Tousart 🔁
↦ D. Doekhi
80′
K. Volland 🔁
↦ J. Haberer
80′
81′
🔁 J. Lindstrøm
↦ M. Politano
89′
🔁 L. Østigård
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Union Berlin

3-1-4-2
1 F. Rønnow G
5 D. Doekhi D
31 R. Knoche D
4 Diogo Leite D
8 R. Khedira M
28 C. Trimmel M
7 B. Aaronson M
19 J. Haberer M
6 R. Gosens M
11 D. Fofana F
27 S. Becker F
Bench (10)
20 A. Laïdouni
33 A. Král
17 K. Behrens
29 L. Tousart
10 K. Volland
38 L. Dehl
39 Y. Stein
37 A. Schwolow
23 L. Bonucci
3 P. Jaeckel

Coach: U. Fischer

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
3 Natan D
6 Mário Rui D
24 J. Cajuste M
68 S. Lobotka M
20 P. Zieliński M
21 M. Politano F
81 G. Raspadori F
77 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (11)
7 E. Elmas
17 M. Olivera
18 G. Simeone
29 J. Lindstrøm
55 L. Østigård
95 P. Gollini
23 A. Zerbin
70 G. Gaetano
14 N. Contini-Baranovskyi
50 L. D'Avino
59 A. Zanoli

Coach: R. Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.