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Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
Inter
T S S U S
2–1
Full-time
Salzburg
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,38 xG 0,49
55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
3 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Inter Salzburg
1–0 A. Sánchez ⚽
D. Frattesi
19′
23′
🟨 Roko Šimić
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 🟨
28′
29′
🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath
Half-time 1–0
N. Barella 🔁
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
46′
57′
⚽ O. Gloukh 1–1
M. Kjærgaard
2–1 H. Çalhanoğlu ⚽
64′
M. Darmian 🔁
↦ D. Dumfries
65′
M. Thuram 🔁
↦ A. Sánchez
65′
71′
🔁 P. Ratkov
↦ R. Šimić
71′
🔁 N. Dorgeles
↦ M. Kjærgaard
72′
🔁 K. Konaté
↦ M. Bidstrup
K. Asllani 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
76′
Lautaro Martínez ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
83′
D. Klaassen 🔁
↦ L. Martínez
85′
85′
🔁 A. Forson
↦ O. Gloukh
85′
🔁 N. Capaldo
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
28 B. Pavard D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
16 D. Frattesi M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
30 Carlos Augusto M
10 L. Martínez F
70 A. Sánchez F
Bench (10)
23 N. Barella
36 M. Darmian
9 M. Thuram
21 K. Asllani
14 D. Klaassen
77 E. Audero
12 R. Di Gennaro
15 F. Acerbi
32 F. Dimarco
31 Y. Bisseck

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Salzburg

4-2-3-1
24 A. Schlager G
70 A. Dedić D
22 O. Solet D
31 S. Pavlović D
17 A. Ulmer D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
10 L. Sučić M
30 O. Gloukh M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
23 R. Šimić F
Bench (10)
21 P. Ratkov
45 N. Dorgeles
19 K. Konaté
32 A. Forson
7 N. Capaldo
41 J. Krumrey
15 M. Diambou
6 S. Baidoo
1 N. Mantl
39 L. Morgalla

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.