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Champions League
Referee: D Massa
Galatasaray
S S S S S
1–3
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
2,0
3,5
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/2 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 82%
63%
100%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
2,1
3,0
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,69 xG 1,98
52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Galatasaray Bayern Munich
8′
⚽ K. Coman 0–1
L. Sané
14′
🟨 Leroy Sané
1–1 M. Icardi ⚽
30′
32′
🟨 Konrad Laimer
Half-time 1–1
Tetê 🟨
53′
D. Mertens 🔁
↦ Tetê
56′
Kaan Ayhan 🟨
62′
73′
⚽ H. Kane 1–2
B. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
75′
H. Ziyech 🔁
↦ W. Zaha
75′
Angeliño 🔁
↦ K. Karataş
75′
78′
🔁 B. Sarr
↦ N. Mazraoui
79′
⚽ J. Musiala 1–3
H. Kane
T. Ndombélé 🔁
↦ K. Ayhan
80′
83′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ H. Kane
83′
🔁 M. Tel
↦ K. Coman
95′
🟨 Alphonso Davies
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
88 K. Karataş D
23 K. Ayhan M
34 L. Torreira M
20 Tetê M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
14 W. Zaha M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
10 D. Mertens
53 B. Yılmaz
22 H. Ziyech
3 Angeliño
91 T. Ndombélé
25 V. Nelsson
8 K. Demirbay
94 C. Bakambu
27 Sérgio Oliveira
19 G. Güvenç

Coach: O. Buruk

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
26 S. Ulreich G
40 N. Mazraoui D
4 M. de Ligt D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
27 K. Laimer M
11 K. Coman M
42 J. Musiala M
10 L. Sané M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
20 B. Sarr
13 E. Choupo-Moting
39 M. Tel
25 T. Müller
18 Daniel Peretz
45 A. Pavlović
41 F. Krätzig

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.