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Champions League
Referee: C Turpin
Benfica
S S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Sociedad
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,48 xG 0,94
38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Benfica Sociedad
Half-time 0–0
Arthur Cabral 🔁
↦ P. Musa
46′
O. Kökçü 🔁
↦ João Mário
46′
Juan Bernat 🔁
↦ D. Jurásek
59′
63′
⚽ Brais Méndez 0–1
Barrenetxea
Tiago Gouveia 🔁
↦ David Neres
69′
70′
🔁 Elustondo
↦ H. Traoré
71′
🟨 Aritz Elustondo
75′
🟨 Mikel Merino
76′
🔁 A. Zakharyan
↦ Barrenetxea
76′
🔁 Carlos Fernández
↦ T. Kubo
Juan Bernat 🟨
77′
Chiquinho 🔁
↦ A. Bah
81′
92′
🔁 M. Cho
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
6 A. Bah D
4 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
13 D. Jurásek D
87 João Neves M
8 F. Aursnes M
7 David Neres M
27 Rafa M
20 João Mário M
33 P. Musa F
Bench (12)
9 Arthur Cabral
10 O. Kökçü
14 Juan Bernat
47 Tiago Gouveia
22 Chiquinho
61 Florentino
17 Gonçalo Guedes
19 C. Tengstedt
24 Samuel Soares
38 João Victor
44 Tomás Araújo
5 Morato

Coach: R. Schmidt

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
18 H. Traoré D
5 Zubeldia D
24 Robin Le Normand D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
14 T. Kubo F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
7 Barrenetxea F
Bench (12)
6 Elustondo
12 A. Zakharyan
9 Carlos Fernández
11 M. Cho
32 Unai Marrero
20 Jon Pacheco
30 Gaizka Ayesa
28 Jon Magunazelaia
16 Jon Ander Olasagasti
19 U. Sadiq
22 Beñat Turrientes
26 Urko González

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.