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Serie B

Referee: D Rutella

Ascoli

U S U U T

4–1

Full-time

Lecco

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Lecco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

0,8

0,3

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,5

This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 19%

21%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

38%

55%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

52%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 18. · Lecco 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	30	19	8	3	+27	65
2	Venezia	30	17	6	7	+21	57
3	Cremonese	30	16	8	6	+16	56
4	Como	30	16	7	7	+10	55
5	Palermo	30	14	7	9	+11	49
6	Catanzaro	30	14	7	9	+8	49
7	Sampdoria	30	12	6	12	-3	42
8	Brescia	30	9	12	9	+2	39
9	Sudtirol	30	10	8	12	+0	38
10	Cittadella	30	10	8	12	-5	38
11	Pisa	30	9	10	11	-2	37
12	Reggiana	30	7	16	7	-2	37
13	Modena	30	8	13	9	-5	37
14	Cosenza	30	8	10	12	-2	34
15	Bari	30	7	13	10	-8	34
16	Ternana	30	8	8	14	-5	32
17	Spezia	30	6	13	11	-14	31
18	Ascoli	29	6	10	13	-7	28
19	FeralpiSalo	30	7	6	17	-15	27
20	Lecco	29	5	6	18	-27	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	15	10	3	2	+13	33
2	Parma	15	9	6	0	+13	33
3	Como	15	9	4	2	+9	31
4	Catanzaro	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Cremonese	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Palermo	15	8	1	6	+7	25
7	Cittadella	16	7	3	6	+3	24
8	Bari	15	5	7	3	+1	22
9	Sudtirol	15	6	3	6	+2	21
10	Brescia	15	5	6	4	+2	21
11	Modena	15	5	4	6	-1	19
12	Pisa	15	4	6	5	+0	18
13	Ternana	16	4	6	6	+0	18
14	Sampdoria	15	5	3	7	-3	18
15	Cosenza	15	4	5	6	+2	17
16	Reggiana	15	2	10	3	-3	16
17	Ascoli	14	3	6	5	+0	15
18	Spezia	14	3	6	5	-2	15
19	FeralpiSalo	15	3	3	9	-5	12
20	Lecco	14	3	1	10	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	15	10	2	3	+14	32
2	Cremonese	15	9	3	3	+7	30
3	Venezia	15	7	3	5	+8	24
4	Palermo	15	6	6	3	+4	24
5	Como	15	7	3	5	+1	24
6	Sampdoria	15	7	3	5	+0	24
7	Catanzaro	15	6	4	5	+0	22
8	Reggiana	15	5	6	4	+1	21
9	Pisa	15	5	4	6	-2	19
10	Brescia	15	4	6	5	+0	18
11	Modena	15	3	9	3	-4	18
12	Sudtirol	15	4	5	6	-2	17
13	Cosenza	15	4	5	6	-4	17
14	Spezia	16	3	7	6	-12	16
15	FeralpiSalo	15	4	3	8	-10	15
16	Ternana	14	4	2	8	-5	14
17	Cittadella	14	3	5	6	-8	14
18	Ascoli	15	3	4	8	-7	13
19	Bari	15	2	6	7	-9	12
20	Lecco	15	2	5	8	-14	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.