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Serie B
Referee: D Chiffi
Sudtirol
T T T U S
1–2
Full-time
Cittadella
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
28%
22%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
61%
44%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
39%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 19. · Cittadella 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 19 13 4 2 +23 43
2 Pisa 19 11 5 3 +14 38
3 Spezia 18 10 7 1 +18 37
4 Juve Stabia 18 7 7 4 +0 28
5 Cremonese 18 7 5 6 +4 26
6 Cesena 18 7 4 7 +2 25
7 Bari 18 5 9 4 +3 24
8 Catanzaro 18 4 11 3 +3 23
9 Modena 18 5 8 5 +1 23
10 Carrarese 18 6 5 7 -4 23
11 Mantova 18 5 7 6 -2 22
12 Palermo 18 5 6 7 +1 21
13 Brescia 18 5 6 7 -3 21
14 Cosenza 18 4 8 6 -3 20
15 Sampdoria 18 4 7 7 -6 19
16 Reggiana 18 4 6 8 -5 18
17 Salernitana 18 4 6 8 -7 18
18 Cittadella 18 4 6 8 -14 18
19 Sudtirol 18 5 2 11 -13 17
20 Frosinone 18 3 7 8 -12 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Cittadella
0–1 F. Casolari
own goal
6′
Karim Zedadka 🟨
30′
Alessandro Mallamo 🟨
36′
45′
F. Casolari 0–2
E. Masciangelo
Half-time 0–2
M. Praszelik 🔁
↦ A. Mallamo
46′
Raphael Kofler 🟨
54′
56′
🟨 Simone Tronchin
S. Merkaj 🔁
↦ M. Rover
57′
71′
🔁 S. Rabbi
↦ S. Tronchin
80′
L. Pandolfi 0–3
E. Masciangelo
83′
🔁 M. Ravasio
↦ L. Pandolfi
V. Crespi 🔁
↦ R. Kofler
87′
87′
🔁 A. Rizza
↦ E. Masciangelo
J. Martini 🔁
↦ T. Arrigoni
88′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-5-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
2 H. El Kaouakibi D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
28 R. Kofler D
79 S. Molina M
8 A. Mallamo M
4 T. Arrigoni M
17 D. Casiraghi M
11 K. Zedadka M
90 R. Odogwu F
7 M. Rover F
Bench (11)
99 M. Praszelik
33 S. Merkaj
9 V. Crespi
6 J. Martini
24 S. Davì
46 D. Brik
16 E. Lamanna
23 L. Ceppitelli
15 B. Rottensteiner
12 G. Drago
3 A. Cagnano

Coach: F. Castori

Cittadella

3-5-1-1
36 E. Kastrati G
2 A. Salvi D
26 N. Pavan D
24 L. Carissoni D
19 F. D'Alessio M
17 S. Tronchin M
5 F. Casolari M
8 F. Amatucci M
32 E. Masciangelo M
16 A. Vita F
7 L. Pandolfi F
Bench (11)
21 S. Rabbi
91 M. Ravasio
28 A. Rizza
20 D. Voltan
10 C. Cassano
64 A. Cecchetto
35 S. Piccinini
11 J. Desogus
22 E. Scquizzato
9 A. Magrassi
23 S. Branca

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U
2,95
B ✓
3,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,64
U2,5
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Chiffi · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.