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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hearts
S T T U S
1–2
Full-time
Hibernian
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
50%
61%
Both score Ø 61%
61%
61%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 10. · Hibernian 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 16 14 2 0 +40 44
2 Rangers 16 11 2 3 +19 35
3 Aberdeen 17 10 4 3 +10 34
4 Motherwell 17 8 2 7 -4 26
5 Dundee United 17 6 7 4 +6 25
6 St Mirren 18 7 3 8 -5 24
7 Dundee 17 5 4 8 -3 19
8 Hibernian 18 4 6 8 -6 18
9 Kilmarnock 18 4 6 8 -16 18
10 Hearts 18 4 4 10 -7 16
11 Ross County 18 3 6 9 -21 15
12 ST Johnstone 18 4 2 12 -13 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -24 Hibernian – Hearts 1–1 28. Feb -24 Hearts – Hibernian 1–1 27. Dec -23 Hibernian – Hearts 0–1 7. Oct -23 Hearts – Hibernian 2–2 27. May -23 Hearts – Hibernian 1–1

Match report

Hearts Hibernian
9′
⚽ K. Rowles 1–0
own goal
Kye Rowles ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
13′
Cameron Devlin 🟨
28′
35′
🟨 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
Half-time 1–1
1–1 R. Bushiri ⚽
own goal
47′
68′
🔁 D. Gayle
↦ É. Youan
69′
🔁 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
↦ J. Newell
Y. Dhanda 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
70′
Craig Halkett 🟨
71′
77′
🔁 L. Miller
↦ W. OHora
M. Boateng 🔁
↦ B. Baningime
78′
78′
⚽ D. Gayle 1–2
N. Cadden
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ M. Drammeh
79′
L. Boyce 🔁
↦ C. Halkett
85′
85′
🔁 J. Obita
↦ N. Cadden
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
5 D. Oyegoke D
4 C. Halkett D
15 K. Rowles D
29 J. Penrice D
14 C. Devlin M
6 B. Baningime M
37 M. Drammeh M
9 L. Shankland M
16 B. Spittal M
21 J. Wilson F
Bench (9)
20 Y. Dhanda
18 M. Boateng
77 K. Vargas
27 L. Boyce
35 A. Forrester
7 J. Grant
17 A. Forrest
80 A. Salazar
28 Z. Clark

Coach: N. Critchley

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
13 J. Smith G
5 W. O'Hora D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
12 C. Cadden M
26 N. Triantis M
11 J. Newell M
19 N. Cadden M
32 J. Campbell F
10 M. Boyle F
7 É. Youan F
Bench (9)
34 D. Gayle
18 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
2 L. Miller
21 J. Obita
23 J. Hoilett
6 D. Levitt
22 N. Moriah-Welsh
1 J. Bursik
14 L. Amos

Coach: D. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
🔒
U
3,46
🔒
B ✓
3,21
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,81
🔒
U2,5
1,97
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.