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Serie B

Referee: S Sozza

Palermo

U S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Bari

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 28%

28%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

28%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

1,9

2,1

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

19 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 12

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 13. · Bari 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	19	13	4	2	+23	43
2	Spezia	19	10	8	1	+18	38
3	Pisa	19	11	5	3	+14	38
4	Cremonese	19	8	5	6	+5	29
5	Juve Stabia	19	7	7	5	-1	28
6	Cesena	19	7	4	8	+1	25
7	Catanzaro	19	4	12	3	+3	24
8	Bari	18	5	9	4	+3	24
9	Modena	19	5	9	5	+1	24
10	Mantova	19	5	8	6	-2	23
11	Carrarese	18	6	5	7	-4	23
12	Brescia	19	5	7	7	-3	22
13	Palermo	18	5	6	7	+1	21
14	Cosenza	19	4	9	6	-3	21
15	Reggiana	19	5	6	8	-4	21
16	Cittadella	19	5	6	8	-13	21
17	Sampdoria	18	4	7	7	-6	19
18	Frosinone	19	4	7	8	-10	19
19	Salernitana	19	4	6	9	-9	18
20	Sudtirol	19	5	2	12	-14	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	10	7	3	0	+13	24
2	Spezia	9	7	2	0	+14	23
3	Sassuolo	9	7	1	1	+15	22
4	Cesena	10	6	2	2	+6	20
5	Carrarese	9	5	3	1	+6	18
6	Mantova	9	5	3	1	+5	18
7	Modena	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Catanzaro	10	3	5	2	+4	14
9	Bari	10	3	5	2	+1	14
10	Juve Stabia	9	4	2	3	-1	14
11	Brescia	10	3	4	3	+1	13
12	Salernitana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Cremonese	9	3	3	3	-2	12
15	Frosinone	10	2	5	3	-2	11
16	Cosenza	10	2	5	3	-2	11
17	Palermo	8	2	3	3	+1	9
18	Cittadella	9	1	6	2	-1	9
19	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-1	9
20	Sudtirol	10	2	2	6	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	10	6	3	1	+8	21
2	Cremonese	10	5	2	3	+7	17
3	Spezia	10	3	6	1	+4	15
4	Pisa	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	Juve Stabia	10	3	5	2	+0	14
6	Palermo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
7	Cittadella	10	4	0	6	-12	12
8	Bari	8	2	4	2	+2	10
9	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	-1	10
10	Catanzaro	9	1	7	1	-1	10
11	Sampdoria	10	2	4	4	-5	10
12	Modena	10	1	6	3	-3	9
13	Reggiana	9	2	3	4	-3	9
14	Brescia	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	Sudtirol	9	3	0	6	-6	9
16	Frosinone	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Salernitana	9	1	3	5	-8	6
18	Cesena	9	1	2	6	-5	5
19	Mantova	10	0	5	5	-7	5
20	Carrarese	9	1	2	6	-10	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.