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Serie B
Referee: M Perri
Pisa
S T T S S
1–2
Full-time
Modena
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 42%
58%
26%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
55%
42%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 2. · Modena 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 31 22 6 3 +39 72
2 Pisa 31 18 7 6 +22 61
3 Spezia 31 14 13 4 +22 55
4 Cremonese 32 14 10 8 +16 52
5 Catanzaro 31 10 16 5 +8 46
6 Juve Stabia 31 12 10 9 +1 46
7 Cesena 32 11 10 11 +1 43
8 Palermo 31 11 9 11 +6 42
9 Bari 31 8 16 7 +3 40
10 Modena 31 8 14 9 +1 38
11 Carrarese 32 9 10 13 -9 37
12 Frosinone 32 8 13 11 -11 37
13 Mantova 32 8 12 12 -9 36
14 Cittadella 32 9 9 14 -20 36
15 Sudtirol 32 9 8 15 -10 35
16 Brescia 32 7 13 12 -7 34
17 Sampdoria 31 6 14 11 -10 32
18 Reggiana 32 7 11 14 -11 32
19 Salernitana 31 7 9 15 -13 30
20 Cosenza 32 6 12 14 -19 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Modena
Simone Canestrelli 🟨
4′
27′
S. Santoro 0–1
A. Di Pardo
35′
🟨 Cristian Cauz
42′
🟨 Fabio Gerli
Half-time 0–1
A. Lind 🔁
↦ H. Meister
46′
A. Rus 🔁
↦ S. Canestrelli
46′
50′
E. Gliozzi 0–2
A. Arena 🔁
↦ I. Touré
54′
G. Piccinini 🔁
↦ M. Højholt
54′
Adrian Rus 🟨
64′
M. Solbakken 🔁
↦ M. Marin
70′
70′
🔁 T. Battistella
↦ F. Gerli
71′
🔁 E. Duca
↦ R. Idrissi
1–2 S. Moreo
77′
78′
🔁 Pedro Mendes
↦ E. Gliozzi
78′
🔁 K. Bozhanaj
↦ G. Caso
Markus Solbakken 🟨
84′
90′
🔁 M. Caldara
↦ A. Palumbo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
5 S. Canestrelli D
4 A. Caracciolo D
94 G. Bonfanti D
15 I. Touré M
8 M. Højholt M
6 M. Marin M
3 S. Angori M
80 O. Moruțan F
32 S. Moreo F
14 H. Meister F
Bench (12)
45 A. Lind
17 A. Rus
30 A. Arena
36 G. Piccinini
21 M. Solbakken
16 L. Buffon
28 O. Abildgaard
22 L. Loria
1 Nícolas
33 A. Calabresi
27 A. Castellini
66 L. Sernicola

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Modena

3-4-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
6 L. Magnino D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
18 A. Di Pardo M
8 S. Santoro M
16 F. Gerli M
27 R. Idrissi M
10 A. Palumbo F
20 G. Caso F
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (12)
5 T. Battistella
7 E. Duca
11 Pedro Mendes
21 K. Bozhanaj
23 M. Caldara
78 F. Bagheria
92 G. Defrel
1 A. Seculin
93 I. Kamate
24 M. Oliva
31 Eric Botteghin
14 S. Vulikić

Coach: P. Mandelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U
3,31
B ✓
4,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Perri · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.