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Serie B
Referee: R Abisso
Modena
S S S T U
2–1
Full-time
Reggiana
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
43%
21%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Modena 7. · Reggiana 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 14 9 3 2 +15 30
2 Venezia 14 9 3 2 +11 30
3 Catanzaro 15 8 3 4 +5 27
4 Cremonese 14 7 4 3 +9 25
5 Como 14 7 4 3 +3 25
6 Palermo 15 7 3 5 +7 24
7 Modena 14 6 5 3 +1 23
8 Cittadella 14 6 4 4 -1 22
9 Cosenza 14 5 4 5 +3 19
10 Sampdoria 14 5 3 6 -1 18
11 Bari 14 3 9 2 -1 18
12 Sudtirol 14 4 5 5 +1 17
13 Pisa 14 4 5 5 -1 17
14 Reggiana 14 3 7 4 -3 16
15 Brescia 14 3 6 5 -3 15
16 Ascoli 14 3 4 7 -4 13
17 Lecco 14 3 4 7 -8 13
18 Spezia 14 1 7 6 -9 10
19 Ternana 14 1 5 8 -6 8
20 FeralpiSalo 14 1 4 9 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Reggiana
1–0 J. Manconi
D. Falcinelli
1′
Antonio Pergreffi 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Črnigoj
↦ J. Da Riva
50′
J. Antiste 1–1
E. Pieragnolo
53′
🟨 Alessandro Bianco
62′
🟨 Domen Črnigoj
K. Bozhanaj 🔁
↦ L. Tremolada
64′
65′
🟨 Natan Girma
Kleis Bozhanaj 🟨
69′
2–1 K. Bozhanaj
A. Palumbo
70′
72′
🔁 Muhamed Djamanca
↦ N. Girma
81′
🔁 E. Lanini
↦ M. Portanova
89′
🟨 Filippo Melegoni
90′
🔁 S. Pettinari
↦ J. Antiste
90′
🔁 R. Fiamozzi
↦ M. Sampirisi
S. Oukhadda 🔁
↦ J. Manconi
94′
96′
🟥 Edoardo Pieragnolo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Modena

4-3-2-1
12 A. Seculin G
3 F. Ponsi D
19 G. Zaro D
4 A. Pergreffi D
29 M. Cotali D
6 L. Magnino M
5 A. Palumbo M
7 E. Duca M
10 L. Tremolada M
17 J. Manconi M
11 D. Falcinelli F
Bench (12)
30 K. Bozhanaj
99 S. Oukhadda
8 A. Guiébré
26 R. Gagno
21 R. Giovannini
28 S. Waibl
42 L. Mondele
24 R. Vukušić
20 M. Gargiulo
9 N. Bonfanti
22 F. Vandelli
23 T. Battistella

Coach: P. Bianco

Reggiana

4-3-2-1
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
4 P. Rozzio D
27 A. Marcandalli D
3 E. Pieragnolo D
90 M. Portanova M
42 A. Bianco M
21 J. Da Riva M
80 N. Girma M
72 F. Melegoni M
28 J. Antiste F
Bench (12)
33 D. Črnigoj
7 Muhamed Djamanca
10 E. Lanini
23 S. Pettinari
15 R. Fiamozzi
14 S. Nuhu
19 F. Romagna
24 F. Nardi
25 P. Szymiński
12 G. Satalino
1 A. Sposito
17 L. Libutti

Coach: A. Nesta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,49
B
4,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.