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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Modena
U T T S S
1–3
Full-time
Sassuolo
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 49%
28%
69%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 1
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 10. · Sassuolo 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 32 22 6 4 +37 72
2 Pisa 33 19 7 7 +23 64
3 Spezia 32 15 13 4 +24 58
4 Cremonese 32 14 10 8 +16 52
5 Juve Stabia 32 13 10 9 +2 49
6 Catanzaro 33 10 18 5 +8 48
7 Palermo 33 12 9 12 +7 45
8 Bari 33 9 17 7 +4 44
9 Cesena 32 11 10 11 +1 43
10 Modena 32 9 14 9 +2 41
11 Carrarese 33 9 11 13 -9 38
12 Frosinone 32 8 13 11 -11 37
13 Mantova 32 8 12 12 -9 36
14 Cittadella 33 9 9 15 -21 36
15 Brescia 33 7 14 12 -7 35
16 Sudtirol 33 9 8 16 -11 35
17 Sampdoria 33 7 14 12 -11 35
18 Salernitana 33 8 9 16 -13 33
19 Reggiana 33 7 11 15 -13 32
20 Cosenza 33 6 13 14 -19 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Sassuolo
14′
🟨 Filippo Romagna
36′
D. Berardi 0–1
40′
🟨 Edoardo Iannoni
Half-time 0–1
59′
🔁 Pedro Obiang
↦ D. Boloca
1–1 S. Santoro
G. Caso
60′
64′
A. Laurienté 1–2
J. Toljan
Luca Magnino 🟨
67′
R. Idrissi 🔁
↦ M. Cotali
73′
G. Defrel 🔁
↦ E. Gliozzi
73′
76′
L. Moro 1–3
E. Iannoni
77′
🟨 Luca Moro
Giovanni Zaro 🟨
79′
K. Bozhanaj 🔁
↦ G. Caso
81′
81′
🔁 L. Lipani
↦ A. Ghion
81′
🔁 N. Pierini
↦ A. Laurienté
I. Kamate 🔁
↦ A. Di Pardo
82′
86′
🔁 S. Verdi
↦ D. Berardi
T. Battistella 🔁
↦ F. Gerli
87′
87′
🔁 S. Mulattieri
↦ L. Moro
Giovanni Zaro ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
91′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Modena

3-4-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
6 L. Magnino D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
18 A. Di Pardo M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
29 M. Cotali M
10 A. Palumbo F
20 G. Caso F
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (12)
27 R. Idrissi
92 G. Defrel
21 K. Bozhanaj
93 I. Kamate
5 T. Battistella
1 A. Seculin
23 M. Caldara
24 M. Oliva
78 F. Bagheria
31 Eric Botteghin
7 E. Duca
11 Pedro Mendes

Coach: P. Mandelli

Sassuolo

4-2-2-2
31 H. Moldovan G
23 J. Toljan D
19 F. Romagna D
80 T. Muharemović D
3 J. Doig D
40 E. Iannoni M
8 A. Ghion M
10 D. Berardi M
45 A. Laurienté M
11 D. Boloca F
24 L. Moro F
Bench (12)
14 Pedro Obiang
35 L. Lipani
77 N. Pierini
99 S. Verdi
9 S. Mulattieri
15 E. Pieragnolo
90 L. Skjellerup
7 C. Volpato
20 M. Lovato
12 G. Satalino
36 L. Mazzitelli
17 Y. Paz

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,01
U
3,19
B ✓
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.