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Serie B
Referee: L Massimi
Brescia
U T S T U
1–2
Full-time
Pisa
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 40%
21%
58%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
39%
55%
Both score Ø 57%
58%
55%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
7 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 15. · Pisa 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 33 23 6 4 +39 75
2 Pisa 33 19 7 7 +23 64
3 Spezia 34 15 15 4 +24 60
4 Cremonese 33 14 11 8 +16 53
5 Juve Stabia 33 13 11 9 +2 50
6 Catanzaro 33 10 18 5 +8 48
7 Palermo 33 12 9 12 +7 45
8 Bari 33 9 17 7 +4 44
9 Cesena 33 11 11 11 +1 44
10 Modena 33 9 14 10 +0 41
11 Frosinone 34 8 15 11 -11 39
12 Carrarese 33 9 11 13 -9 38
13 Mantova 33 8 13 12 -9 37
14 Cittadella 33 9 9 15 -21 36
15 Brescia 33 7 14 12 -7 35
16 Sudtirol 33 9 8 16 -11 35
17 Sampdoria 33 7 14 12 -11 35
18 Salernitana 33 8 9 16 -13 33
19 Reggiana 33 7 11 15 -13 32
20 Cosenza 33 6 13 14 -19 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Pisa
5′
ℹ️ Henrik Wendel Meister
VAR: Goal cancelled
12′
M. Tramoni 0–1
S. Moreo
M. Besaggio 🔁
↦ M. Bertagnoli
24′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 O. Abildgaard
↦ G. Piccinini
61′
🔁 M. Marin
↦ M. Solbakken
A. Jurič 🔁
↦ N. Galazzi
62′
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ A. Papetti
62′
65′
🟨 Simone Canestrelli
66′
🔁 L. Sernicola
↦ S. Angori
67′
🔁 M. Højholt
↦ H. Meister
77′
🔁 O. Moruțan
↦ S. Moreo
79′
I. Touré 0–2
O. Abildgaard
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ P. Nuamah
80′
1–2 A. Jurič
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Brescia

5-4-1
1 L. Lezzerini G
24 L. Dickmann D
32 A. Papetti D
28 D. Adorni D
5 G. Calvani D
19 N. Corrado D
23 N. Galazzi M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
25 D. Bisoli M
20 P. Nuamah M
29 G. Borrelli F
Bench (11)
39 M. Besaggio
7 A. Jurič
8 B. Bjarnason
9 F. Bianchi
22 L. Andrenacci
14 G. Maucci
27 G. Olzer
33 Z. Muça
16 L. D'Andrea
12 M. Avella
11 G. Moncini

Coach: R. Maran

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
33 A. Calabresi D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
15 I. Touré M
36 G. Piccinini M
21 M. Solbakken M
3 S. Angori M
32 S. Moreo F
11 M. Tramoni F
14 H. Meister F
Bench (12)
28 O. Abildgaard
6 M. Marin
66 L. Sernicola
8 M. Højholt
80 O. Moruțan
1 Nícolas
10 E. Vignato
22 L. Loria
17 A. Rus
30 A. Arena
94 G. Bonfanti
27 A. Castellini

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,38
U
3,22
B ✓
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Massimi · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.