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Serie B
Referee: Marco Piccinini
Juve Stabia
U T S U S
2–2
Full-time
Pescara
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Pescara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 22%
33%
11%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
39%
78%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,20 xG 1,54
55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
10 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 7
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juve Stabia 8. · Pescara 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Frosinone 19 12 5 2 +20 +4.8 41
2 Venezia 19 11 5 3 +19 +13.4 38
3 Monza 19 11 4 4 +12 +6.5 37
4 Palermo 18 9 6 3 +15 +2.2 33
5 Catanzaro 19 8 7 4 +5 +1.3 31
6 Cesena 18 9 4 5 +5 +3.4 31
7 Modena 18 8 5 5 +11 +3.7 29
8 Juve Stabia 18 6 8 4 -1 -2.2 26
9 Avellino 19 6 7 6 -8 -7.3 25
10 Empoli 18 6 6 6 +1 +0.9 24
11 Carrarese 19 5 8 6 -4 -6.0 23
12 Padova 18 5 7 6 -3 -1.9 22
13 Reggiana 19 5 5 9 -5 -2.2 20
14 Sudtirol 19 3 10 6 -4 -3.3 19
15 Virtus Entella 19 4 7 8 -9 -5.1 19
16 Sampdoria 19 4 5 10 -8 +1.0 17
17 Spezia 19 4 5 10 -9 +0.6 17
18 Bari 19 3 8 8 -13 -5.0 17
19 Mantova 18 4 3 11 -12 -2.2 15
20 Pescara 18 2 7 9 -12 -2.5 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juve Stabia Pescara
Nicola Mosti 🟨
33′
35′
G. Olzer 0–1
44′
🟨 Riccardo Brosco
Half-time 0–1
K. Zeroli 🔁
↦ A. Cacciamani
46′
C. Pierobon 🔁
↦ N. Mosti
46′
46′
🔁 L. Berardi
↦ G. Letizia
Marco Ruggero 🟨
52′
56′
🟨 Riccardo Capellini
P. Matheu 🔁
↦ L. Carissoni
64′
1–1 O. Correia
68′
M. Mannini 🔁
↦ F. Maistro
71′
80′
🟨 Tommaso Corazza
82′
🟨 Luca Valzania
Marco Bellich ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
86′
2–1 L. Candellone
89′
90′
🔁 J. Brandes
↦ L. Valzania
90′
🔁 L. Sgarbi
↦ T. Corazza
90′
L. Sgarbi 2–2
R. Brosco
94′
🟨 Lorenzo Sgarbi
97′
🔁 G. Cangiano
↦ F. Caligara
M. Baldi 🔁
↦ G. Leone
98′
98′
🔁 L. Meazzi
↦ M. Dagasso
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-5-1-1
1 A. Confente G
4 M. Ruggero D
33 A. Giorgini D
6 M. Bellich D
24 L. Carissoni M
55 G. Leone M
98 N. Mosti M
29 O. Correia M
77 A. Cacciamani M
37 F. Maistro F
27 L. Candellone F
Bench (10)
16 A. Signorini
23 P. Boer
13 M. Varnier
15 M. Baldi
76 M. Mannini
8 K. Zeroli
10 C. Pierobon
17 A. Ciammaglichella
11 K. Piscopo
70 P. Matheu

Coach: Ignazio Abate

Pescara

5-3-2
1 S. Desplanches G
16 T. Corazza D
95 G. Corbo D
13 R. Brosco D
2 R. Capellini D
3 G. Letizia D
21 F. Caligara M
14 L. Valzania M
8 M. Dagasso M
27 G. Olzer F
9 A. Di Nardo F
Bench (11)
40 F. D'Emilio F
22 I. Saio
35 D. Giannini
36 L. Berardi
5 J. Brandes
11 G. Cangiano
7 L. Meazzi
17 O. Okwonkwo
18 L. Sgarbi
15 R. Tonin
31 A. Vinciguerra

Coach: Giorgio Gorgone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,78
U ✓
3,36
B
4,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Piccinini · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.