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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Palencia Caballero
Mirandes
T U T T T
2–2
Full-time
Almeria
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mirandes Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,99 xG 2,02
37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mirandes 22. · Almeria 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 20 11 5 4 +15 +0.2 38
2 Las Palmas 20 10 7 3 +13 -0.1 37
3 Almeria 20 10 5 5 +10 -0.1 35
4 Castellon 20 10 4 6 +9 +3.2 34
5 Cadiz 21 9 7 5 +2 -0.8 34
6 La Coruna 20 9 6 5 +11 +2.7 33
7 Ceuta 20 9 5 6 +0 -4.0 32
8 Sp Gijon 21 9 3 9 -3 +1.2 30
9 Malaga 20 8 5 7 +4 -0.8 29
10 Burgos 20 8 5 7 +4 +1.5 29
11 Cordoba 20 7 8 5 +2 +0.6 29
12 Valladolid 20 6 7 7 +1 +3.9 25
13 Eibar 20 6 6 8 -2 +1.5 24
14 Andorra 20 6 6 8 -6 -0.5 24
15 Cultural Leonesa 20 7 3 10 -8 -6.3 24
16 Leganes 20 5 8 7 -1 +1.2 23
17 Albacete 20 6 5 9 -8 -0.6 23
18 Huesca 20 6 5 9 -9 +1.3 23
19 Sociedad B 20 6 4 10 -2 +0.7 22
20 Granada 20 4 9 7 -4 -0.1 21
21 Zaragoza 20 4 5 11 -15 -2.8 17
22 Mirandes 20 4 4 12 -13 -2.1 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mirandes Almeria
1–0 J. Hernandez
10′
29′
🟨 Álex Muñoz
Carlos Fernández 🟨
30′
36′
A. Munoz 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Hernandez
S. El Jebari
60′
A. Cardero 🔁
↦ J. Hernandez
67′
Álex Cardero 🟨
71′
71′
🔁 A. Puigmal
↦ Leo Baptistao
71′
🔁 A. Horta
↦ S. Dzodic
71′
🔁 M. Luna
↦ D. Chirino
A. Mari 🔁
↦ S. El Jebari
76′
T. Tamarit 🔁
↦ C. Fernandez
76′
80′
🔁 M. Perovic
↦ A. Centelles
86′
S. Arribas 2–2
J. Cabello 🔁
↦ H. Novoa Ramos
87′
Thiago Helguera 🟨
91′
92′
🟨 Sergio Arribas
Fernando Medrano 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Mirandes

4-1-4-1
1 I. Nikic G
2 H. Novoa Ramos D
22 J. Gutierrez D
24 I. Cordoba D
3 F. Medrano D
6 T. Helguera M
30 S. El Jebari M
26 R. Bauza M
28 J. Hernandez M
17 P. Perez M
10 C. Fernandez F
Bench (10)
13 Juanpa
5 A. Pica
8 A. Martin Luis
11 A. Cardero
14 A. Mari
15 J. Cabello
18 I. Barea Fernandez
19 M. Illesca
20 E. Eto'o
27 T. Tamarit

Coach: Francisco Rodríguez Justo

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
22 D. Chirino D
4 N. Monte D
3 A. Munoz D
20 A. Centelles D
14 I. Baba M
29 S. Dzodic M
12 Leo Baptistao M
11 S. Arribas M
23 A. Embarba M
9 Thalys F
Bench (10)
13 F. Martinez
31 B. Iribarne
2 A. Puigmal
6 A. Horta
8 Gui Guedes
15 A. Hernandez
16 M. Luna
26 H. Kounia
28 H. Martin
36 M. Perovic

Coach: Joan Francesc Ferrer Sicilia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,41
U ✓
3,31
B
2,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Palencia Caballero · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.