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Premiership

Referee: D Robertson

Livingston

U T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 8%

10%

Points per game

0,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

70%

62%

Both score Ø 61%

65%

57%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,32 xG 2,03

62% Possession 38%

12 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Livingston 12. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	20	13	5	2	+22	+9.0	44
2	Rangers	21	11	8	2	+15	+3.2	41
3	Celtic	20	12	2	6	+13	+8.7	38
4	Motherwell	21	9	9	3	+14	+6.9	36
5	Hibernian	21	9	7	5	+13	+1.8	34
6	Falkirk	20	7	6	7	-6	+0.4	27
7	Dundee United	21	5	10	6	-2	-5.1	25
8	Aberdeen	21	7	4	10	-6	-6.3	25
9	Dundee	21	6	4	11	-14	-7.3	22
10	St Mirren	19	4	6	9	-10	+2.3	18
11	Kilmarnock	21	2	7	12	-19	-8.4	13
12	Livingston	20	1	6	13	-20	-5.2	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	10	7	3	0	+14	+4.7	24
2	Motherwell	11	7	3	1	+13	+8.3	24
3	Celtic	10	7	1	2	+13	+7.4	22
4	Rangers	11	6	4	1	+6	+5.6	22
5	Hibernian	10	5	3	2	+10	+2.7	18
6	Dundee	10	5	1	4	-1	-2.4	16
7	Falkirk	10	3	5	2	+1	+2.6	14
8	Aberdeen	10	3	4	3	+2	-3.4	13
9	St Mirren	10	3	4	3	-1	+4.8	13
10	Dundee United	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.5	13
11	Kilmarnock	11	1	3	7	-11	-3.1	6
12	Livingston	9	1	2	6	-6	+0.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	10	6	2	2	+8	+4.3	20
2	Rangers	10	5	4	1	+9	-2.5	19
3	Hibernian	11	4	4	3	+3	-0.9	16
4	Celtic	10	5	1	4	+0	+1.3	16
5	Falkirk	10	4	1	5	-7	-2.2	13
6	Motherwell	10	2	6	2	+1	-1.4	12
7	Dundee United	10	2	6	2	+0	-2.6	12
8	Aberdeen	11	4	0	7	-8	-2.9	12
9	Kilmarnock	10	1	4	5	-8	-5.3	7
10	Dundee	11	1	3	7	-13	-4.9	6
11	St Mirren	9	1	2	6	-9	-2.4	5
12	Livingston	11	0	4	7	-14	-5.4	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.