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Serie B
Referee: Daniele Perenzoni
1–2
Full-time
Cesena
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Virtus Entella Cesena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,67 xG 0,47
59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Virtus Entella 19. · Cesena 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Modena 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.7 6
2 Vicenza 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.0 3
3 Ascoli 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.8 3
4 Mantova 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.3 3
5 Arezzo 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.8 3
6 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
7 Padova 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.4 3
8 Palermo 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
9 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
10 Cesena 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.5 1
11 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
12 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.0 0
13 Verona 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.8 0
14 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
15 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.3 0
16 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.8 0
17 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.4 0
18 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
19 Virtus Entella 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
20 Cremonese 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Virtus Entella Cesena
25′
A. Fiori 0–1
36′
C. Shpendi 0–2
X. Druiventak
1–2 A. Tiritiello
L. Vignali
42′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🟨 Cristian Shpendi
L. Cuppone 🔁
↦ M. Tirelli
46′
50′
🟨 Matteo Guidi
53′
🔁 G. Frabotta
↦ A. Fiori
53′
🔁 M. Francesconi
↦ M. Guidi
L. Benedetti 🔁
↦ L. Vignali
69′
Lucas Martello 🔁
↦ N. Squizzato
69′
70′
🔁 A. Debenedetti
↦ X. Druiventak
I. Marconi 🔁
↦ S. Di Mario
84′
G. Corona 🔁
↦ A. Franzoni
84′
Luca Parodi 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 M. Dalla Vecchia
↦ C. Shpendi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Virtus Entella

3-5-2
22 F. Del Frate G
23 L. Parodi D
6 A. Tiritiello D
27 M. Alborghetti D
8 L. Vignali M
24 A. Franzoni M
5 N. Squizzato M
11 B. Guiu M
26 S. Di Mario M
32 F. Forte F
17 M. Tirelli F
Bench (12)
12 E. Torrielli
91 S. Colombi
16 R. Turicchia
3 N. Previtali
15 I. Marconi
39 M. Motolese
80 L. Benedetti
55 Lucas Martello
18 T. Annoni
28 M. Valori
10 L. Cuppone
9 G. Corona

Coach: Andrea Chiappella

Cesena

4-1-4-1
1 A. Siano G
15 A. Ciofi D
6 M. Ilic D
4 J. Gelli D
24 M. Mangraviti D
10 R. Pagano M
14 X. Druiventak M
25 D. Bisoli M
18 M. Guidi
80 A. Fiori M
9 C. Shpendi F
Bench (12)
90 T. Mazzi
48 S. Gianfanti
7 G. Frabotta
2 M. Natta
23 V. Magni
5 L. Schirone
27 M. Dalla Vecchia
8 M. Francesconi
43 F. Bertaccini
20 M. Casadei
16 L. D'Andrea
91 A. Debenedetti

Coach: Alessandro Diamanti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,19
B ✓
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Perenzoni · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.