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Championship

Referee: A Davies

Swansea

S S S S T

3–2

Full-time

Reading

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Reading

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Championship · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 47%

43%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

50%

36%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

74% Possession 26%

13 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

2 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Swansea 8. · Reading 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	14	6	7	1	+12	25
2	Sheffield United	14	7	4	3	+11	25
3	Norwich	14	7	3	4	+6	24
4	QPR	14	7	3	4	+4	24
5	Blackburn	15	8	0	7	+1	24
6	Reading	14	7	1	6	-5	22
7	Luton	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Swansea	14	6	3	5	-3	21
9	Sunderland	14	5	5	4	+5	20
10	Watford	14	5	5	4	+2	20
11	Millwall	14	6	2	6	-1	20
12	Birmingham	14	5	4	5	+2	19
13	Stoke	14	5	4	5	+0	19
14	Preston	15	4	7	4	-2	19
15	Wigan	14	5	4	5	-3	19
16	Rotherham	13	4	6	3	+2	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-1	18
18	Cardiff	14	5	3	6	-2	18
19	Blackpool	14	4	4	6	-4	16
20	West Brom	14	2	8	4	+1	14
21	Hull	14	4	2	8	-15	14
22	Middlesbrough	13	3	4	6	-4	13
23	Huddersfield	13	3	2	8	-5	11
24	Coventry	10	1	4	5	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	8	5	1	2	+3	16
2	Rotherham	8	4	3	1	+8	15
3	Blackburn	7	5	0	2	+6	15
4	Millwall	7	5	0	2	+5	15
5	Sheffield United	7	4	2	1	+9	14
6	Norwich	7	4	2	1	+6	14
7	Burnley	7	3	4	0	+7	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	+4	13
9	Watford	7	4	1	2	+2	13
10	Middlesbrough	8	3	3	2	+1	12
11	Hull	8	4	0	4	-5	12
12	QPR	6	3	2	1	+3	11
13	Cardiff	7	3	2	2	+1	11
14	Sunderland	7	2	4	1	+3	10
15	Luton	8	2	4	2	+2	10
16	Huddersfield	7	3	1	3	+2	10
17	Swansea	7	3	1	3	-1	10
18	Birmingham	6	2	2	2	+2	8
19	Stoke	6	2	2	2	-1	8
20	West Brom	7	1	4	2	+1	7
21	Blackpool	6	2	1	3	+0	7
22	Preston	8	1	4	3	-4	7
23	Wigan	7	1	3	3	-6	6
24	Coventry	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wigan	7	4	1	2	+3	13
2	QPR	8	4	1	3	+1	13
3	Burnley	7	3	3	1	+5	12
4	Preston	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Luton	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Sheffield United	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Stoke	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Birmingham	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Swansea	7	3	2	2	-2	11
10	Sunderland	7	3	1	3	+2	10
11	Norwich	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Blackpool	8	2	3	3	-4	9
13	Blackburn	8	3	0	5	-5	9
14	West Brom	7	1	4	2	+0	7
15	Watford	7	1	4	2	+0	7
16	Cardiff	7	2	1	4	-3	7
17	Coventry	8	1	4	3	-4	7
18	Reading	6	2	0	4	-8	6
19	Bristol City	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Millwall	7	1	2	4	-6	5
21	Rotherham	5	0	3	2	-6	3
22	Hull	6	0	2	4	-10	2
23	Middlesbrough	5	0	1	4	-5	1
24	Huddersfield	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.