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LaLiga2

Alcorcon

U U U U U

3–1

Full-time

Ponferradina

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Ponferradina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 27%

25%

29%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

38%

29%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

58%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

9 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 4

17 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alcorcon 14. · Ponferradina 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	25	14	6	5	+12	48
2	Almeria	25	12	9	4	+18	45
3	Huesca	25	13	4	8	+9	43
4	Zaragoza	24	12	6	6	+11	42
5	Fuenlabrada	25	9	10	6	+4	37
6	Elche	25	9	9	7	+5	36
7	Numancia	25	9	9	7	+5	36
8	Las Palmas	25	9	8	8	+1	35
9	Girona	24	10	4	10	+1	34
10	Mirandes	24	8	10	6	-1	34
11	Vallecano	23	7	11	5	+5	32
12	Ponferradina	24	7	11	6	+4	32
13	Sp Gijon	25	8	7	10	-3	31
14	Alcorcon	24	6	12	6	-1	30
15	Malaga	25	5	13	7	-1	28
16	Albacete	24	8	4	12	-11	28
17	La Coruna	25	6	9	10	-14	27
18	Tenerife	25	6	8	11	-4	26
19	Lugo	25	5	10	10	-13	25
20	Oviedo	24	5	9	10	-8	24
21	Extremadura UD	24	5	7	12	-12	22
22	Santander	25	2	14	9	-7	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	13	10	1	2	+12	31
2	Cadiz	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Girona	12	8	2	2	+8	26
4	Zaragoza	13	7	3	3	+9	24
5	Numancia	13	7	3	3	+8	24
6	Almeria	12	7	2	3	+9	23
7	Ponferradina	13	5	7	1	+8	22
8	Mirandes	12	5	6	1	+6	21
9	Sp Gijon	13	6	3	4	+5	21
10	Fuenlabrada	12	5	6	1	+5	21
11	Vallecano	11	5	4	2	+4	19
12	Las Palmas	13	5	4	4	+2	19
13	Malaga	12	3	7	2	+2	16
14	La Coruna	12	4	4	4	-3	16
15	Lugo	13	4	4	5	-7	16
16	Elche	12	3	6	3	+1	15
17	Tenerife	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	Oviedo	12	2	8	2	-1	14
19	Santander	12	2	7	3	+2	13
20	Alcorcon	12	3	3	6	-6	12
21	Albacete	12	3	3	6	-6	12
22	Extremadura UD	12	2	4	6	-5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	13	5	7	1	+9	22
2	Elche	13	6	3	4	+4	21
3	Cadiz	13	6	3	4	+2	21
4	Alcorcon	12	3	9	0	+5	18
5	Zaragoza	11	5	3	3	+2	18
6	Fuenlabrada	13	4	4	5	-1	16
7	Las Palmas	12	4	4	4	-1	16
8	Albacete	12	5	1	6	-5	16
9	Vallecano	12	2	7	3	+1	13
10	Mirandes	12	3	4	5	-7	13
11	Numancia	12	2	6	4	-3	12
12	Tenerife	13	3	3	7	-3	12
13	Huesca	12	3	3	6	-3	12
14	Malaga	13	2	6	5	-3	12
15	Extremadura UD	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	La Coruna	13	2	5	6	-11	11
17	Ponferradina	11	2	4	5	-4	10
18	Oviedo	12	3	1	8	-7	10
19	Sp Gijon	12	2	4	6	-8	10
20	Lugo	12	1	6	5	-6	9
21	Girona	12	2	2	8	-7	8
22	Santander	13	0	7	6	-9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.