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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Famalicao
T S S S U
0–1
Full-time
Santa Clara
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
56%
22%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
72%
22%
Both score Ø 47%
61%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,9
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
11 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Famalicao 3. · Santa Clara 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 18 17 0 1 +37 51
2 Porto 18 14 2 2 +28 44
3 Famalicao 18 10 4 4 +8 34
4 Sp Lisbon 18 10 2 6 +10 32
5 Rio Ave 18 8 4 6 +4 28
6 Sp Braga 18 8 3 7 +6 27
7 Guimaraes 18 6 8 4 +7 26
8 Setubal 18 6 7 5 -3 25
9 Gil Vicente 18 5 8 5 +0 23
10 Vitoria Setubal 17 5 7 5 -6 22
11 Maritimo 18 4 9 5 -7 21
12 Tondela 19 5 6 8 -7 21
13 Moreirense 18 4 7 7 -4 19
14 Boavista 18 4 7 7 -5 19
15 Santa Clara 18 4 6 8 -9 18
16 Pacos Ferreira 18 4 4 10 -12 16
17 Portimonense 18 2 9 7 -12 15
18 Belenenses 18 4 3 11 -20 15
19 Aves 18 3 0 15 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Famalicao Santa Clara
Roderick Miranda 🟨
22′
35′
Lincoln 0–1
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Marco Pereira
61′
🟨 Mamadu Cande
Diogo Gonçalves 🟨
62′
Álex Centelles 🔁
↦ R. Coly
62′
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ Toni Martínez
70′
Guga 🔁
↦ Ivo Pinto
77′
79′
🔁 Zé Manuel
↦ Costinha
82′
🟨 Fabio Cardoso
83′
🟨 Guilherme Schettine
85′
🔁 Thiago Santana
↦ Guilherme Schettine
93′
🔁 Z. Sanusi
↦ Carlos
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Famalicao

4-3-3
26 Vaná G
2 Ivo Pinto D
23 Roderick Miranda D
40 R. Coly D
15 Riccieli D
69 U. Račić M
28 Pedro Gonçalves M
12 Gustavo Assunção M
11 Fábio Martins F
17 Diogo Gonçalves F
19 Toni Martínez F
Bench (7)
32 Álex Centelles
33 Anderson Silva
6 Guga
8 L. Ofori
7 Walterson
1 Rafael Defendi
97 Patrick William

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Santa Clara

4-1-3-2
99 Marco Pereira G
24 Mamadu Candé D
91 Patrick D
4 Fábio Cardoso D
5 João Afonso D
27 Anderson Carvalho M
20 Costinha M
88 Chico Ramos M
17 Lincoln M
95 Guilherme Schettine F
13 Carlos F
Bench (7)
70 Zé Manuel
14 Thiago Santana
3 Z. Sanusi
12 César Martins
1 André Ferreira
21 Nené
7 Ukra

Coach: João Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,66
U
3,81
B ✓
4,95
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.