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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Lyon

T S T U S

3–0

Full-time

Toulouse

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 28%

40%

15%

Points per game

1,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

50%

65%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 9. · Toulouse 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	20	16	1	3	+36	49
2	Marseille	21	12	6	3	+9	42
3	Rennes	21	11	4	6	+7	37
4	Montpellier	21	9	6	6	+9	33
5	Nantes	20	10	2	8	+1	32
6	Lille	20	9	4	7	+2	31
7	Strasbourg	21	9	3	9	+0	30
8	Angers	21	8	6	7	-2	30
9	Lyon	20	8	5	7	+12	29
10	Reims	21	7	8	6	+3	29
11	Nice	21	8	5	8	+1	29
12	Monaco	21	8	5	8	+0	29
13	Brest	21	7	7	7	+1	28
14	St Etienne	21	8	4	9	-8	28
15	Bordeaux	20	7	5	8	+5	26
16	Metz	21	5	8	8	-9	23
17	Dijon	21	5	6	10	-8	21
18	Amiens	21	4	6	11	-17	18
19	Nimes	21	3	6	12	-19	15
20	Toulouse	20	3	3	14	-23	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Paris SG	10	8	1	1	+21	25
3	Montpellier	11	8	1	2	+12	25
4	Marseille	11	7	3	1	+8	24
5	Angers	11	6	3	2	+9	21
6	Nice	11	6	3	2	+8	21
7	Brest	11	5	5	1	+10	20
8	Strasbourg	10	6	2	2	+6	20
9	Monaco	11	6	1	4	+5	19
10	Rennes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
11	Nantes	10	6	1	3	+3	19
12	Dijon	10	4	4	2	+1	16
13	St Etienne	11	4	4	3	-1	16
14	Reims	11	3	6	2	+3	15
15	Bordeaux	10	4	2	4	+7	14
16	Metz	10	3	4	3	+1	13
17	Amiens	10	3	3	4	-4	12
18	Lyon	9	3	2	4	+5	11
19	Nimes	10	3	2	5	-2	11
20	Toulouse	10	3	0	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	0	2	+15	24
2	Lyon	11	5	3	3	+7	18
3	Rennes	11	5	3	3	+3	18
4	Marseille	10	5	3	2	+1	18
5	Reims	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	Nantes	10	4	1	5	-2	13
7	Bordeaux	10	3	3	4	-2	12
8	St Etienne	10	4	0	6	-7	12
9	Monaco	10	2	4	4	-5	10
10	Strasbourg	11	3	1	7	-6	10
11	Metz	11	2	4	5	-10	10
12	Angers	10	2	3	5	-11	9
13	Montpellier	10	1	5	4	-3	8
14	Nice	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Brest	10	2	2	6	-9	8
16	Amiens	11	1	3	7	-13	6
17	Dijon	11	1	2	8	-9	5
18	Lille	10	1	2	7	-11	5
19	Nimes	11	0	4	7	-17	4
20	Toulouse	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.