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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
PSV Eindhoven
U S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Twente
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,3
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
53%
26%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
74%
74%
Both score Ø 66%
68%
63%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 5. · Twente 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 15 2 3 +42 47
2 AZ Alkmaar 20 14 2 4 +27 44
3 Feyenoord 20 10 7 3 +8 37
4 Willem II 20 11 4 5 +7 37
5 PSV Eindhoven 19 10 5 4 +19 35
6 Vitesse 20 10 4 6 +10 34
7 Utrecht 20 10 3 7 +12 33
8 Groningen 20 8 5 7 +4 29
9 Heerenveen 20 7 7 6 +4 28
10 Heracles 20 7 5 8 +3 26
11 Sparta Rotterdam 20 6 6 8 -4 24
12 FC Emmen 20 6 4 10 -13 22
13 Twente 19 5 5 9 -11 20
14 For Sittard 20 5 5 10 -21 20
15 VVV Venlo 20 6 1 13 -26 19
16 Zwolle 20 5 3 12 -17 18
17 Den Haag 20 4 4 12 -20 16
18 Waalwijk 20 3 2 15 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Twente
30′
🟨 Lindon Selahi
Half-time 0–0
K. Mitroglou 🔁
↦ S. Lammers
55′
Cody Gakpo 🟨
58′
1–0 D. Dumfries
61′
63′
🟨 Javi Espinosa
Ibrahim Afellay 🟨
64′
66′
🔁 R. Zekhnini
↦ N. Lang
66′
🔁 H. Vučkič
↦ Javier Espinosa
Ibrahim Afellay 🟨
75′
Ibrahim Afellay 🟥
75′
78′
🔁 E. Berggreen
↦ L. Selahi
R. Doan 🔁
↦ Bruma
79′
É. Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ C. Gakpo
82′
87′
H. Vučkič 1–1
E. Berggreen
Jorrit Hendrix 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
13 L. Unnerstall G
6 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
22 D. Dumfries D
17 I. Afellay M
8 J. Hendrix D
18 P. Rosario M
24 M. Ihattaren M
7 Bruma M
14 S. Lammers F
19 C. Gakpo M
Bench (9)
11 K. Mitroglou
25 R. Doan
15 É. Gutiérrez
30 R. Thomas
28 O. Boscagli
33 J. Teze
21 R. Ruiter
61 Y. Roulaux
56 C. Madueke

Coach: E. Faber

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
3 X. Schenk D
25 P. Bijen D
5 Julio Pleguezuelo D
28 G. Troupée D
8 Javier Espinosa F
20 Oriol Busquets M
27 N. Lang F
18 L. Selahi M
32 J. Bosch M
7 Aitor Cantalapiedra F
Bench (11)
14 R. Zekhnini
10 H. Vučkič
9 E. Berggreen
26 J. Brondeel
21 G. Aburjania
13 K. Nakamura
22 J. de Lange
2 P. Verhaegh
11 Q. Menig
19 J. Latibeaudiere
29 G. Roemeratoe

Coach: Gonzalo García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,28
U ✓
5,83
B
9,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,37
U2,5 ✓
3,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.