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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Valladolid

U T U U U

0–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,3

1,7

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

1,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 43%

40%

45%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,9

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

4 Shots 12

0 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 16. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	13	4	4	+25	43
2	Real Madrid	20	12	7	1	+25	43
3	Sevilla	21	11	5	5	+7	38
4	Getafe	21	10	6	5	+10	36
5	Ath Madrid	21	9	9	3	+8	36
6	Sociedad	21	10	4	7	+8	34
7	Valencia	21	9	7	5	+3	34
8	Villarreal	21	9	4	8	+7	31
9	Ath Bilbao	21	7	10	4	+7	31
10	Osasuna	21	6	10	5	+3	28
11	Granada	21	8	3	10	-3	27
12	Betis	21	7	6	8	-4	27
13	Levante	21	8	2	11	-6	26
14	Alaves	21	6	5	10	-9	23
15	Eibar	21	6	5	10	-9	23
16	Valladolid	20	4	10	6	-6	22
17	Mallorca	21	5	3	13	-15	18
18	Celta	21	3	8	10	-13	17
19	Leganes	21	3	6	12	-17	15
20	Espanol	21	3	6	12	-21	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+15	24
3	Valencia	11	6	5	0	+9	23
4	Ath Madrid	11	6	4	1	+8	22
5	Ath Bilbao	10	6	3	1	+10	21
6	Getafe	11	6	3	2	+8	21
7	Betis	11	6	2	3	+6	20
8	Granada	10	6	1	3	+6	19
9	Sevilla	10	5	3	2	+5	18
10	Sociedad	10	5	2	3	+10	17
11	Osasuna	11	4	5	2	+5	17
12	Levante	10	5	2	3	+4	17
13	Mallorca	11	5	2	4	+3	17
14	Villarreal	10	4	4	2	+7	16
15	Alaves	11	4	4	3	+5	16
16	Eibar	10	5	0	5	-2	15
17	Valladolid	9	2	6	1	+4	12
18	Celta	11	2	5	4	-4	11
19	Leganes	11	3	1	7	-7	10
20	Espanol	11	0	4	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+2	20
2	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+10	19
3	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	-2	17
4	Getafe	10	4	3	3	+2	15
5	Villarreal	11	5	0	6	+0	15
6	Barcelona	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Ath Madrid	10	3	5	2	+0	14
8	Osasuna	10	2	5	3	-2	11
9	Valencia	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	Espanol	10	3	2	5	-8	11
11	Ath Bilbao	11	1	7	3	-3	10
12	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-10	10
13	Levante	11	3	0	8	-10	9
14	Eibar	11	1	5	5	-7	8
15	Granada	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Betis	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	Alaves	10	2	1	7	-14	7
18	Celta	10	1	3	6	-9	6
19	Leganes	10	0	5	5	-10	5
20	Mallorca	10	0	1	9	-18	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.