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LaLiga2
Lugo
U S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
58%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

15 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 6
10 Corners 7
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 13. · Sp Gijon 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 13 9 1 3 +15 28
2 Eibar 12 7 3 2 +5 24
3 Las Palmas 13 6 5 2 +6 23
4 Sp Gijon 12 6 3 3 +3 21
5 Tenerife 12 6 2 4 +3 20
6 Ponferradina 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 Valladolid 12 5 4 3 +3 19
8 Cartagena 12 6 0 6 -2 18
9 Malaga 12 4 5 3 -2 17
10 Burgos 12 4 4 4 +3 16
11 Huesca 13 4 4 5 +2 16
12 Oviedo 12 3 7 2 +1 16
13 Lugo 12 3 6 3 +0 15
14 Fuenlabrada 12 3 6 3 +0 15
15 Ibiza 12 3 6 3 -3 15
16 Mirandes 12 4 2 6 -2 14
17 Sociedad B 13 3 5 5 -2 14
18 Zaragoza 12 1 9 2 -2 12
19 Girona 12 3 3 6 -4 12
20 Leganes 13 2 4 7 -6 10
21 Amorebieta 13 1 6 6 -7 9
22 Alcorcon 12 2 1 9 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,99
U ✓
2,87
B
2,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,61
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.