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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Stal Mielec
U T S S T
0–1
Full-time
Legia
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
5 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stal Mielec 6. · Legia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 6 5 1 0 +13 16
2 Radomiak Radom 6 3 2 1 +2 11
3 Legia 6 3 2 1 +2 11
4 Cracovia 6 3 1 2 +4 10
5 Pogon Szczecin 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Stal Mielec 6 3 1 2 +1 10
7 Slask Wroclaw 6 2 3 1 +0 9
8 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Jagiellonia 7 2 2 3 -1 8
10 Zaglebie 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Rakow 4 2 1 1 +1 7
12 Widzew Lodz 6 2 1 3 +0 7
13 Korona Kielce 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Piast Gliwice 5 2 0 3 +0 6
15 Warta Poznan 6 2 0 4 -5 6
16 Lechia Gdansk 4 1 0 3 -6 3
17 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Legnica 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stal Mielec Legia
Half-time 0–0
62′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ P. Wszołek
F. Hiszpański 🔁
↦ M. Wolski
63′
63′
🔁 Carlitos López
↦ P. Sokołowski
Fryderyk Gerbowski 🟨
69′
72′
🔁 B. Kapustka
↦ E. Muçi
72′
🔁 R. Pich
↦ M. Baku
74′
Carlitos López 0–1
R. Pich
M. Mak 🔁
↦ D. Barauskas
80′
86′
🟨 Bartosz Kapustka
P. Maj 🔁
↦ F. Gerbowski
88′
91′
🟨 Josué
93′
🟨 Carlitos
95′
🔁 I. Kharatin
↦ Josué
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Stal Mielec

5-3-2
41 B. Mrozek G
24 M. Wolski D
26 A. Kasperkiewicz D
21 M. Matras D
22 D. Barauskas D
23 K. Getinger D
7 M. Domański M
18 P. Wlazło M
32 F. Gerbowski M
99 S. Hamulic F
11 M. Lebedyński F
Bench (9)
17 F. Hiszpański
10 M. Mak
25 P. Maj
88 A. Soboń
1 M. Kochalski
74 K. Kruk
16 P. Żyra
59 B. Vaštšuk
6 Leândro

Coach: A. Majewski

Legia

4-1-4-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
6 M. Johansson D
8 R. Augustyniak D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
25 F. Mladenović D
99 B. Slisz M
13 P. Wszołek M
27 Josué M
18 P. Sokołowski M
28 M. Baku M
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (9)
39 M. Rosołek
19 Carlitos López
67 B. Kapustka
11 R. Pich
14 I. Kharatin
31 C. Miszta
5 Yuri Ribeiro
17 M. Nawrocki
29 L. Rose

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.