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Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Macedo

Pacos Ferreira

U T T T T

0–3

Full-time

Estoril

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%

10 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 0

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 17. · Estoril 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+8	7
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Boavista	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Arouca	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	Estoril	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Casa Pia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Chaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Santa Clara	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Rio Ave	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+5	4
3	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Casa Pia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vizela	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Casa Pia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Sp Lisbon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.